Atlético Tordesillas 48%Draw 24%Atlético Paso 28%Expected goals 1.67 – 1.14
74%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
Picks by market
ResultAtlético Tordesillas to win48% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.45
Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Paso travel to face Atlético Tordesillas on Sunday 15 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Atlético Tordesillas are 12th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Atlético Paso are 15th (lower half) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Atlético Tordesillas, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with A Madrid III, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Atlético Paso, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with RSD Alcalá, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Tordesillas 1.7 xG, Atlético Paso 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Tordesillas 48%, draw 24%, Atlético Paso 28%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.77.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Tordesillas 1–1 Atlético Paso. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Tordesillas48%fair 2.07 · @1.97
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.28
Atlético Paso28%fair 3.62 · @3.28
2.80Expected goals
1.67Atlético Tordesillas xG
1.14Atlético Paso xG
58%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atlético Tordesillas 1.7 – 1.1 Atlético Paso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Atlético Tordesillas
Atlético Paso
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+14%
-8%
Goals conceded vs average
+8%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.83
1.15
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético Tordesillas to win
48%
2.07
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.77
Draw no bet
Atlético Tordesillas (draw no bet)
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Paso +1 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
50%
1.99
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Atlético Tordesillas to score first
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético Tordesillas / FT Atlético Tordesillas
30%
3.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.45
–
Recent results
Atlético Tordesillas – last 6
DLDDWD
8 Nov
@ A Madrid III
3–3
D
1 Nov
vs Numancia
1–2
L
27 Oct
vs Mirandes
3–3
D
24 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Guadalajara
3–0
W
11 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlético Paso – last 6
DLWWDL
8 Nov
vs RSD Alcalá
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Navalcarnero
1–3
L
27 Oct
vs Cordoba
3–1
W
24 Oct
vs Real Ávila
3–0
W
18 Oct
@ Conquense
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ CF Talavera
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Tordesillas and Atlético Paso.
What is the prediction for Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso?
On our numbers Atlético Tordesillas have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlético Paso 28%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso?
Our predicted score is Atlético Tordesillas 1–1 Atlético Paso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso?
Atlético Tordesillas vs Atlético Paso (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
