Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
O2.5
Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 1.71 – our chance 63% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultConquense to win61% · @1.74
Double chanceConquense or draw81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score62% · @1.66
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.80
Conquense vs Guadalajara: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Conquense welcome Guadalajara for a Segunda División RFEF Group 5 fixture on Sunday 15 November (17:00 WAT). In the table, Conquense are 4th, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Guadalajara are 9th (upper half) with 13.
Current form
Conquense, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with RSD Alcalá, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Guadalajara, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Navalcarnero, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Conquense 2.5 xG, Guadalajara 1.2 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Conquense 61%, draw 20%, Guadalajara 19%.
Lower-risk option: Conquense or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.66.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @1.71 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 63%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Conquense61%fair 1.65 · @1.74
Draw20%fair 4.95 · @3.58
Guadalajara19%fair 5.22 · @3.78
3.71Expected goals
2.48Conquense xG
1.23Guadalajara xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–08%
1–17%
3–06%
1–06%
From our goals model: Conquense 2.5 – 1.2 Guadalajara expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Conquense
Guadalajara
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+37%
+30%
Goals conceded vs average
-14%
+33%
Our expected goals here
3.06
1.30
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Conquense to win
61%
1.65
1.74 ▲
Double chance
Conquense or draw
81%
1.24
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.61
1.66
Draw no bet
Conquense (draw no bet)
76%
1.32
–
Asian handicap
Conquense -0.5 (Asian handicap)
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.71 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
68%
1.46
–
First team to score
Conquense to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Conquense ahead at half-time
49%
2.05
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Conquense / FT Conquense
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.80
–
Recent results
Conquense – last 6
DLWDWL
1 Nov
vs RSD Alcalá
2–2
D
29 Oct
vs Castellón
0–3
L
25 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
2–0
W
18 Oct
vs Atlético Paso
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Albacete II
4–0
W
4 Oct
@ A Madrid III
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Guadalajara – last 6
DWDLWD
8 Nov
vs Navalcarnero
2–2
D
1 Nov
@ Calvo Sotelo
2–1
W
25 Oct
vs Real Valladolid II
4–4
D
18 Oct
@ Atlético Tordesillas
0–3
L
11 Oct
vs Getafe II
4–1
W
7 Oct
@ Real Madrid III
1–1
D
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Conquense and Guadalajara.
What is the prediction for Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Conquense vs Guadalajara?
On our numbers Conquense have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Guadalajara 19%.
How many goals will there be in Conquense vs Guadalajara?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Our predicted score is Conquense 2–1 Guadalajara, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Conquense vs Guadalajara?
Conquense vs Guadalajara (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
