Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Calvo Sotelo v CF Talavera in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5. In the table, Calvo Sotelo are 18th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 10 matches; CF Talavera are 8th (upper half) with 15.
Current form
Calvo Sotelo, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Numancia, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
CF Talavera, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to A Madrid III, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours CF Talavera, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.3 for Calvo Sotelo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Calvo Sotelo 0.8 xG, CF Talavera 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Calvo Sotelo 21%, draw 25%, CF Talavera 54%.
Lower-risk option: CF Talavera or draw (79%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Calvo Sotelo 0–1 CF Talavera. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Calvo Sotelo21%fair 4.71 · @3.85
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.48
CF Talavera54%fair 1.86 · @1.75
2.37Expected goals
0.83Calvo Sotelo xG
1.55CF Talavera xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–211%
0–09%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Calvo Sotelo 0.8 – 1.5 CF Talavera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Calvo Sotelo
CF Talavera
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
-40%
-3%
Goals conceded vs average
+27%
-29%
Our expected goals here
0.72
1.43
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
CF Talavera to win
54%
1.86
1.75
Double chance
CF Talavera or draw
79%
1.27
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.75
Draw no bet
CF Talavera (draw no bet)
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
Calvo Sotelo +1 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
71%
1.41
1.24
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
54%
1.86
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
75%
1.34
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
CF Talavera to score first
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT CF Talavera / FT CF Talavera
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Calvo Sotelo – last 6
LLDLDL
8 Nov
@ Numancia
0–6
L
1 Nov
vs Guadalajara
1–2
L
25 Oct
@ Getafe II
2–2
D
18 Oct
@ SS Reyes
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs RSD Alcalá
0–0
D
4 Oct
@ Real Valladolid II
0–3
L
0.7Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
CF Talavera – last 6
LWDWWW
31 Oct
@ A Madrid III
0–1
L
25 Oct
vs Salamanca UDS
2–1
W
18 Oct
@ Numancia
0–0
D
11 Oct
vs Atlético Paso
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ Albacete II
4–0
W
27 Sep
vs Real Valladolid II
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Calvo Sotelo and CF Talavera.
What is the prediction for Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?
On our numbers Calvo Sotelo have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 25% and CF Talavera 54%.
How many goals will there be in Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?
Our predicted score is Calvo Sotelo 0–1 CF Talavera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera?
Calvo Sotelo vs CF Talavera (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
