RSD Alcalá 52%Draw 22%A Madrid III 26%Expected goals 1.64 – 1.14
67%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.42
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
Picks by market
ResultRSD Alcalá to win52% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.19
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score58% · @1.56
GoalsOver 1.5 goals77% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–110% · fair 10.51
RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 15 November the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 brings RSD Alcalá against A Madrid III. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, RSD Alcalá are 13th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; A Madrid III are 5th (upper half) with 18.
Current form
RSD Alcalá, last 5: DDDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Atlético Paso, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
A Madrid III, last 5: DWLDD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Atlético Tordesillas, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours A Madrid III, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for RSD Alcalá.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give RSD Alcalá 1.6 xG, A Madrid III 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – RSD Alcalá 52%, draw 22%, A Madrid III 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.56.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Under 3.5 goals (67%, odds 1.42). Most likely score in line with that pick: RSD Alcalá 1–1 A Madrid III. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
RSD Alcalá52%fair 1.92 · @1.79
Draw22%fair 4.52 · @3.60
A Madrid III26%fair 3.87 · @3.54
2.79Expected goals
1.64RSD Alcalá xG
1.14A Madrid III xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: RSD Alcalá 1.6 – 1.1 A Madrid III expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
RSD Alcalá
A Madrid III
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+1%
+8%
Goals conceded vs average
-5%
-8%
Our expected goals here
1.57
1.20
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
RSD Alcalá to win
52%
1.92
1.79
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.19
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.72
1.56
Draw no bet
RSD Alcalá (draw no bet)
67%
1.50
–
Asian handicap
A Madrid III +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
77%
1.29
1.16
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
55%
1.82
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
67%
1.50
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
82%
1.21
1.13
First team to score
RSD Alcalá to score first
55%
1.81
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.44
–
Half-time / full-time
HT RSD Alcalá / FT RSD Alcalá
30%
3.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
10%
10.51
–
Recent results
RSD Alcalá – last 6
DDDLDD
8 Nov
@ Atlético Paso
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Conquense
2–2
D
27 Oct
vs Las Palmas
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs SS Reyes
1–2
L
18 Oct
vs Real Madrid III
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Calvo Sotelo
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
A Madrid III – last 6
DWLDDW
8 Nov
vs Atlético Tordesillas
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs CF Talavera
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ Albacete II
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
11 Oct
@ Navalcarnero
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Conquense
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between RSD Alcalá and A Madrid III.
What is the prediction for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
On our numbers RSD Alcalá have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 22% and A Madrid III 26%.
How many goals will there be in RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
Our predicted score is RSD Alcalá 1–1 A Madrid III, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III?
RSD Alcalá vs A Madrid III (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
