Real Valladolid II 32%Draw 25%Numancia 43%Expected goals 1.31 – 1.54
76%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.22
8/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultNumancia to win43% · @2.21
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score59% · @1.63
GoalsOver 1.5 goals76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.11
Real Valladolid II vs Numancia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Numancia travel to face Real Valladolid II on Sunday 15 November in the Segunda División RFEF Group 5 – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Real Valladolid II are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Numancia are 1st (leading the league) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Real Valladolid II, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Real Madrid III, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Numancia, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Calvo Sotelo, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Real Valladolid II 1.3 xG, Numancia 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Real Valladolid II 32%, draw 25%, Numancia 43%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.63.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Real Valladolid II32%fair 3.13 · @2.81
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.22
Numancia43%fair 2.34 · @2.21
2.85Expected goals
1.31Real Valladolid II xG
1.54Numancia xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Real Valladolid II 1.3 – 1.5 Numancia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Real Valladolid II
Numancia
Attack vs Segunda División RFEF Group 5 average
+34%
+11%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-42%
Our expected goals here
1.32
1.54
Our own ratings from every Segunda División RFEF Group 5 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Numancia to win
43%
2.34
2.21
Double chance
Either team to win
75%
1.34
1.24
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
59%
1.69
1.63
Draw no bet
Numancia (draw no bet)
57%
1.74
–
Asian handicap
Real Valladolid II +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
53%
1.90
1.79
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
69%
1.46
1.31
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Numancia to score first
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Numancia / FT Numancia
25%
3.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Real Valladolid II – last 6
LWDWDW
7 Nov
@ Real Madrid III
0–3
L
1 Nov
vs Getafe II
4–3
W
25 Oct
@ Guadalajara
4–4
D
18 Oct
vs Real Ávila
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Gimnástica Segoviana
1–1
D
4 Oct
vs Calvo Sotelo
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Numancia – last 6
WWDLDD
8 Nov
vs Calvo Sotelo
6–0
W
1 Nov
@ Atlético Tordesillas
2–1
W
29 Oct
vs Oviedo
3–3
D
24 Oct
vs Navalcarnero
2–3
L
18 Oct
vs CF Talavera
0–0
D
11 Oct
@ Real Ávila
1–1
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Real Valladolid II and Numancia.
What is the prediction for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?
On our numbers Real Valladolid II have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Numancia 43%.
How many goals will there be in Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?
Our predicted score is Real Valladolid II 1–1 Numancia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Real Valladolid II vs Numancia?
Real Valladolid II vs Numancia (Segunda División RFEF Group 5) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
