Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmiens to win ✓59% · @1.67
Double chanceAmiens or draw ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Amiens vs Villefranche: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the National 1 brings Amiens against Villefranche at Stade de la Licorne. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Amiens are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Villefranche are 16th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Amiens, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Quevilly, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Villefranche, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Versailles, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Amiens, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Villefranche.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Amiens 1.6 xG, Villefranche 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Amiens 59%, draw 22%, Villefranche 19%.
Lower-risk option: Amiens or draw (81%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Amiens or draw (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amiens 1–0 Villefranche. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Amiens59%fair 1.70 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.50
Villefranche19%fair 5.19 · @4.00
2.38Expected goals
1.61Amiens xG
0.77Villefranche xG
45%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Amiens 1.6 – 0.8 Villefranche expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Amiens to win✓
59%
1.70
1.67
Double chance
Amiens or draw✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.85
Draw no bet
Amiens (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Villefranche +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Amiens to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Amiens / FT Amiens✗
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Recent results
Amiens – last 6
DWDWWL
26 Sep
@ Quevilly
1–1
D
19 Sep
vs Orleans
2–0
W
10 Sep
@ Cannes
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Bastia
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Versailles
3–0
W
20 Aug
@ Le Puy Foot
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Villefranche – last 6
LLDLLL
26 Sep
vs Versailles
1–2
L
19 Sep
@ Le Puy Foot
1–4
L
12 Sep
vs La Roche VF
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ Fleury 91
1–6
L
29 Aug
vs Rouen
0–2
L
20 Aug
@ Concarneau
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Amiens and Villefranche.
What is the prediction for Amiens vs Villefranche?
Our pick is Amiens or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Amiens vs Villefranche?
On our numbers Amiens have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Villefranche 19%.
How many goals will there be in Amiens vs Villefranche?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Amiens vs Villefranche?
Our predicted score is Amiens 1–0 Villefranche, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Amiens vs Villefranche?
Amiens vs Villefranche (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de la Licorne.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
