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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Le Puy Foot v Thionville Lusitanos: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Charles Massot
1–0
FT
Le Puy Foot 46%Draw 23%Thionville Lusitanos 32% Expected goals 1.60 – 1.28
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLe Puy Foot to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.87

Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Thionville Lusitanos travel to face Le Puy Foot on Saturday 3 October in the National 1, with Stade Charles Massot the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Le Puy Foot are 8th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Thionville Lusitanos are 11th (lower half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Le Puy Foot, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Valenciennes, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Thionville Lusitanos, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to La Roche VF, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Le Puy Foot 1.6 xG, Thionville Lusitanos 1.3 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Le Puy Foot 46%, draw 23%, Thionville Lusitanos 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Puy Foot 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Le Puy Foot46%fair 2.19 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Thionville Lusitanos32%fair 3.17 · @3.25
2.88Expected goals
1.60Le Puy Foot xG
1.28Thionville Lusitanos xG
61%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
1–27%
0–17%
2–07%

From our goals model: Le Puy Foot 1.6 – 1.3 Thionville Lusitanos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLe Puy Foot to win ✓46%2.192.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.62
Draw no betLe Puy Foot (draw no bet) ✓59%1.69–
Asian handicapThionville Lusitanos +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.20–
First team to scoreLe Puy Foot to score first ✓52%1.91–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.47–
Half-time / full-timeHT Le Puy Foot / FT Le Puy Foot ✗27%3.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.87–

Recent results

Le Puy Foot – last 6

LWLDLW
26 Sep@ Valenciennes1–2L
19 Sepvs Villefranche4–1W
12 Sep@ Quevilly1–2L
5 Sepvs Orleans1–1D
29 Aug@ Cannes0–2L
20 Augvs Amiens1–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Thionville Lusitanos – last 6

LDLDDW
26 Sepvs La Roche VF1–2L
19 Sep@ Fleury 911–1D
12 Sepvs Rouen0–4L
5 Sep@ Concarneau2–2D
29 Augvs Gobelins1–1D
20 Aug@ Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Le Puy Foot and Thionville Lusitanos.

Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos?

On our numbers Le Puy Foot have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Thionville Lusitanos 32%.

How many goals will there be in Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Our predicted score is Le Puy Foot 1–1 Thionville Lusitanos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos?

Le Puy Foot vs Thionville Lusitanos (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Charles Massot.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.