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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Concarneau v Gobelins: numbers & prediction

National 1 · France · Stade Guy Piriou
2–1
FT
Concarneau 58%Draw 23%Gobelins 19% Expected goals 1.32 – 0.56
58%
Betarazi pick

Concarneau to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultConcarneau to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceConcarneau or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96

Concarneau vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Concarneau v Gobelins in the National 1, played at Stade Guy Piriou. In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Gobelins are 9th (upper half) with 16.

Current form

Concarneau, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Gobelins, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bastia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Momentum favours Concarneau, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Gobelins.

Head to head

When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Concarneau 0–0 Gobelins.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.3 xG, Gobelins 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 58%, draw 23%, Gobelins 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: Concarneau or draw (81%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Concarneau to win (58%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Concarneau58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Gobelins19%fair 5.32 · @4.20
1.88Expected goals
1.32Concarneau xG
0.56Gobelins xG
50%Both score
29%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%

From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 0.6 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultConcarneau to win ✓58%1.711.75
Double chanceConcarneau or draw ✓81%1.231.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%2.001.67
Draw no betConcarneau (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapGobelins +1 (Asian handicap)62%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓96%1.04–
First team to scoreConcarneau to score first59%1.68–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%1.99–
Half-time / full-timeHT Concarneau / FT Concarneau ✗33%3.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.96–

Recent results

Concarneau – last 6

DWWDDW
26 Sep@ Bourg-en-bresse 011–1D
19 Sepvs Caen2–0W
12 Sep@ Aubagne2–1W
5 Sepvs Thionville Lusitanos2–2D
29 Aug@ Valenciennes0–0D
20 Augvs Villefranche2–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Gobelins – last 6

WDLDDW
26 Sepvs Bastia1–0W
19 Sepvs Bourg-en-bresse 011–1D
12 Sep@ Caen0–2L
5 Sepvs Aubagne0–0D
29 Aug@ Thionville Lusitanos1–1D
20 Augvs Valenciennes2–1W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

30 Apr 2026Concarneau v Gobelins0–0
Concarneau vs Gobelins head-to-head page →

National 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1La Roche VF12831+927
2Rouen12822+1326
3Caen12714+722
4Versailles12714+522
5Amiens12552+1120
6Concarneau12552+520
7Cannes12462+618
8Le Puy Foot12534+318
9Gobelins12444-116
10Quevilly12444-316
11Thionville Lusitanos12444016
12Fleury 9112444+216
13Bastia12435-415
14Orleans12255-511
15Valenciennes12246-610
16Villefranche12228-168
17Aubagne12219-137
18Bourg-en-bresse 0112138-136

More National 1 predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Gobelins?

Our pick is Concarneau to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Concarneau vs Gobelins?

On our numbers Concarneau have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 19%.

How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Gobelins?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Gobelins?

Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Concarneau vs Gobelins?

Concarneau vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.