Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultConcarneau to win ✓58% · @1.75
Double chanceConcarneau or draw ✓81% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗71% · fair 1.41
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.96
Concarneau vs Gobelins: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Concarneau v Gobelins in the National 1, played at Stade Guy Piriou. In the table, Concarneau are 6th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Gobelins are 9th (upper half) with 16.
Current form
Concarneau, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Bourg-en-bresse 01, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gobelins, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bastia, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Concarneau, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Gobelins.
Head to head
When they last met (30 Apr 2026) it ended Concarneau 0–0 Gobelins.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Concarneau 1.3 xG, Gobelins 0.6 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 71%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Concarneau 58%, draw 23%, Gobelins 19%.
Lower-risk option: Concarneau or draw (81%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Concarneau to win (58%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Concarneau58%fair 1.71 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.10
Gobelins19%fair 5.32 · @4.20
1.88Expected goals
1.32Concarneau xG
0.56Gobelins xG
50%Both score
29%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–111%
0–19%
2–17%
From our goals model: Concarneau 1.3 – 0.6 Gobelins expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Our pick is Concarneau to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Concarneau vs Gobelins?
On our numbers Concarneau have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gobelins 19%.
How many goals will there be in Concarneau vs Gobelins?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 29% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Our predicted score is Concarneau 1–0 Gobelins, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Concarneau vs Gobelins?
Concarneau vs Gobelins (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Guy Piriou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.