Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Versailles to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultVersailles to win ✓59% · @1.85
Double chanceVersailles or draw ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
Versailles vs Valenciennes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Versailles v Valenciennes in the National 1. In the table, Versailles are 4th, among the top four, on 22 points after 12 matches; Valenciennes are 15th (lower half) with 10. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Versailles, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Villefranche, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Valenciennes, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Le Puy Foot, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Versailles, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Valenciennes.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Apr 2026) it ended Valenciennes 1–0 Versailles.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Versailles 1.9 xG, Valenciennes 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Versailles 59%, draw 21%, Valenciennes 20%.
Lower-risk option: Versailles or draw (80%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Versailles to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Versailles or draw (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Versailles 1–0 Valenciennes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Versailles59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.10
Valenciennes20%fair 5.06 · @3.60
2.88Expected goals
1.90Versailles xG
0.98Valenciennes xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–011%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–06%
3–16%
From our goals model: Versailles 1.9 – 1.0 Valenciennes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Versailles vs Valenciennes?
Our pick is Versailles or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Versailles vs Valenciennes?
On our numbers Versailles have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Valenciennes 20%.
How many goals will there be in Versailles vs Valenciennes?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Versailles vs Valenciennes?
Our predicted score is Versailles 1–0 Valenciennes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Versailles vs Valenciennes?
Versailles vs Valenciennes (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
