La Roche VF 60%Draw 25%Aubagne 15%Expected goals 1.47 – 0.59
85%
Betarazi pick
La Roche VF or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLa Roche VF to win ✓60% · @1.67
Double chanceLa Roche VF or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.32
La Roche VF vs Aubagne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
La Roche VF welcome Aubagne for a National 1 fixture on Saturday 3 October (19:45 WAT). In the table, La Roche VF are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Aubagne are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
La Roche VF, last 5: WWDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Thionville Lusitanos, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Aubagne, last 5: WLLDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Fleury 91, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours La Roche VF, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Aubagne.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give La Roche VF 1.5 xG, Aubagne 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – La Roche VF 60%, draw 25%, Aubagne 15%.
Lower-risk option: La Roche VF or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was La Roche VF or draw (85%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: La Roche VF 1–0 Aubagne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
La Roche VF60%fair 1.68 · @1.67
Draw25%fair 4.02 · @3.60
Aubagne15%fair 6.46 · @4.00
2.06Expected goals
1.47La Roche VF xG
0.59Aubagne xG
51%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–013%
1–111%
2–18%
0–17%
From our goals model: La Roche VF 1.5 – 0.6 Aubagne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
La Roche VF to win✓
60%
1.68
1.67
Double chance
La Roche VF or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.75
Draw no bet
La Roche VF (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Aubagne +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
First team to score
La Roche VF to score first✗
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.11
–
Half-time / full-time
HT La Roche VF / FT La Roche VF✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.32
–
Recent results
La Roche VF – last 6
WWDDWD
26 Sep
@ Thionville Lusitanos
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Valenciennes
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Villefranche
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Quevilly
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Orleans
1–0
W
20 Aug
vs Cannes
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Aubagne – last 6
WLLDWL
26 Sep
@ Fleury 91
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Rouen
0–1
L
12 Sep
vs Concarneau
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Gobelins
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–0
W
20 Aug
@ Caen
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between La Roche VF and Aubagne.
What is the prediction for La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
Our pick is La Roche VF or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
On our numbers La Roche VF have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aubagne 15%.
How many goals will there be in La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
Our predicted score is La Roche VF 1–0 Aubagne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is La Roche VF vs Aubagne?
La Roche VF vs Aubagne (National 1) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
