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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cardiff MET v Briton Ferry: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Cyncoed Campus
3–0
FT
Cardiff MET 40%Draw 21%Briton Ferry 39% Expected goals 1.43 – 1.42
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Briton Ferry to win @ 2.85 – our chance 39% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCardiff MET to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.87

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 28 August the Premier League brings Cardiff MET against Briton Ferry at Cyncoed Campus. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Cardiff MET are 8th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; Briton Ferry are 12th (lower half) with 15.

Current form

Cardiff MET, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to The New Saints, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Briton Ferry, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Flint Town United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (3 Apr 2026) it ended Briton Ferry 3–1 Cardiff MET. The last 2 head-to-heads: Cardiff MET 0 wins, Briton Ferry 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cardiff MET 1.4 xG, Briton Ferry 1.4 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cardiff MET 40%, draw 21%, Briton Ferry 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Briton Ferry to win @2.85 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cardiff MET 1–1 Briton Ferry. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cardiff MET40%fair 2.51 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.50
Briton Ferry39%fair 2.56 · @2.85
2.85Expected goals
1.43Cardiff MET xG
1.42Briton Ferry xG
64%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
2–18%
1–28%
1–08%
0–18%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cardiff MET 1.4 – 1.4 Briton Ferry expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCardiff MET to win ✓40%2.512.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.50
Draw no betCardiff MET (draw no bet) ✓51%1.98–
Asian handicapBriton Ferry +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.511.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓84%1.19–
First team to scoreCardiff MET to score first ✓47%2.11–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cardiff MET / FT Cardiff MET ✓22%4.52–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.87–

Recent results

Cardiff MET – last 6

LLWWLW
21 Augvs The New Saints0–5L
15 Aug@ Barry Town0–1L
7 Aug@ Airbus UK2–0W
1 Augvs Holywell6–1W
3 Apr@ Briton Ferry1–3L
20 Mar@ llanelli AFC2–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Briton Ferry – last 6

WLDWLW
21 Aug@ Flint Town United1–0W
14 Aug@ The New Saints0–1L
7 Aug@ Cambrian & Clydach1–1D
31 Julvs Ammanford AFC2–1W
21 Jul@ Merthyr Town0–3L
3 Aprvs Cardiff MET3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 Apr 2026Briton Ferry v Cardiff MET3–1
16 Mar 2026Cardiff MET v Briton Ferry0–2
Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?

On our numbers Cardiff MET have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Briton Ferry 39%.

How many goals will there be in Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?

Our predicted score is Cardiff MET 1–1 Briton Ferry, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry?

Cardiff MET vs Briton Ferry (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cyncoed Campus.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.