Holywell vs Caernarfon Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Holywell welcome Caernarfon Town for a Premier League fixture on Friday 28 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Holywell are 16th, in the drop zone, on 2 points after 15 matches; Caernarfon Town are 6th (upper half) with 29. There are 27 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Holywell, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Barry Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Caernarfon Town, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Trefelin, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Caernarfon Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Holywell.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Holywell 1.0 xG, Caernarfon Town 2.6 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Holywell 11%, draw 20%, Caernarfon Town 69%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (69%, odds 1.38). Most likely score in line with that pick: Holywell 1–2 Caernarfon Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Holywell11%fair 8.83 · @7.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @5.25
Caernarfon Town69%fair 1.45 · @1.28
3.62Expected goals
1.04Holywell xG
2.58Caernarfon Town xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
0–29%
1–38%
0–38%
1–17%
0–17%
From our goals model: Holywell 1.0 – 2.6 Caernarfon Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✓
69%
1.45
1.28
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.02
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.65
Draw no bet
Caernarfon Town (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Caernarfon Town -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.77
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
Caernarfon Town to score first
69%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✓
53%
1.90
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✓
48%
2.10
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.78
–
Recent results
Holywell – last 6
LLLLWL
21 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–3
L
14 Aug
@ Llandudno
1–3
L
7 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ Cardiff MET
1–6
L
8 Apr
vs Newtown AFC
6–0
W
3 Apr
vs Airbus UK
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Caernarfon Town – last 6
WWLWLL
21 Aug
@ Trefelin
2–0
W
15 Aug
vs Colwyn Bay
3–0
W
7 Aug
vs Penybont
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1
W
16 Jul
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
0–5
L
9 Jul
vs FC Levadia Tallinn
0–5
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Holywell and Caernarfon Town.
What is the prediction for Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
On our numbers Holywell have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Caernarfon Town 69%.
How many goals will there be in Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
Our predicted score is Holywell 1–2 Caernarfon Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Holywell vs Caernarfon Town?
Holywell vs Caernarfon Town (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
