Value bet: Penybont to win @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPenybont to win ✗65% · @1.65
Double chancePenybont or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Penybont vs Flint Town United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 28 August: Penybont v Flint Town United in the Premier League, played at Bryntirion Park. In the table, Penybont are 3rd, among the top four, on 36 points after 15 matches; Flint Town United are 13th (lower half) with 14. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Penybont, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Llandudno, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Flint Town United, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Briton Ferry, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Penybont, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.5 for Flint Town United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Penybont 2.0 xG, Flint Town United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Penybont 65%, draw 21%, Flint Town United 14%.
Lower-risk option: Penybont or draw (86%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Penybont to win @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Penybont 2–0 Flint Town United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Penybont65%fair 1.55 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.75
Flint Town United14%fair 7.03 · @4.10
2.76Expected goals
1.96Penybont xG
0.80Flint Town United xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Penybont 2.0 – 0.8 Flint Town United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Penybont to win✗
65%
1.55
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Penybont or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.73
Draw no bet
Penybont (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Penybont -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
1.17
First team to score
Penybont to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Penybont ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Penybont / FT Penybont✗
41%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Recent results
Penybont – last 6
WWWDLL
21 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
3–0
W
7 Aug
@ Caernarfon Town
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs The New Saints
0–0
D
16 Jul
@ FC Santa Coloma
0–3
L
9 Jul
vs FC Santa Coloma
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Flint Town United – last 6
LLLLLW
21 Aug
vs Briton Ferry
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Cambrian & Clydach
0–1
L
7 Aug
vs Barry Town
2–3
L
31 Jul
@ Llandudno
2–3
L
3 Apr
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
7 Mar
vs Bangor 1876
5–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Penybont and Flint Town United.
What is the prediction for Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Penybont vs Flint Town United?
On our numbers Penybont have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Flint Town United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Penybont vs Flint Town United?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Our predicted score is Penybont 2–0 Flint Town United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Penybont vs Flint Town United?
Penybont vs Flint Town United (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Bryntirion Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
