Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 51% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultThe New Saints to win ✓73% · @1.25
Double chanceThe New Saints or draw ✓91% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 28 August the Premier League brings The New Saints against Colwyn Bay at Park Hall. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, The New Saints are 1st, leading the league, on 44 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
The New Saints, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 5–0 win over Cardiff MET, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Colwyn Bay, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Airbus UK, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended The New Saints 0–2 Colwyn Bay. The last 2 head-to-heads: The New Saints 1 win, Colwyn Bay 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give The New Saints 2.0 xG, Colwyn Bay 0.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – The New Saints 73%, draw 18%, Colwyn Bay 9%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: The New Saints 2–0 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
The New Saints73%fair 1.36 · @1.25
Draw18%fair 5.71 · @5.00
Colwyn Bay9%fair 10.95 · @9.75
2.56Expected goals
2.03The New Saints xG
0.53Colwyn Bay xG
51%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–016%
1–016%
3–011%
2–18%
1–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: The New Saints 2.0 – 0.5 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers The New Saints have a 73% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Colwyn Bay 9%.
How many goals will there be in The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is The New Saints 2–0 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay?
The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Park Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
