Trefelin 57%Draw 22%Ammanford AFC 21%Expected goals 1.95 – 1.09
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultTrefelin to win ✗57% · @1.77
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09
Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 28 August: Trefelin v Ammanford AFC in the Premier League, played at Ynys Park. In the table, Trefelin are 15th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Ammanford AFC are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12.
Current form
Trefelin, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caernarfon Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Ammanford AFC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to GAP Connah S Quay FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Trefelin 2.0 xG, Ammanford AFC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Trefelin 57%, draw 22%, Ammanford AFC 21%.
Lower-risk option: Trefelin or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Trefelin57%fair 1.75 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.65
Ammanford AFC21%fair 4.84 · @3.80
3.04Expected goals
1.95Trefelin xG
1.09Ammanford AFC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Trefelin 2.0 – 1.1 Ammanford AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Trefelin to win✗
57%
1.75
1.77
Double chance
Trefelin or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.71
1.57
Draw no bet
Trefelin (draw no bet)
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Ammanford AFC +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Trefelin to score first✗
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Trefelin ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Trefelin / FT Trefelin✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.09
–
Recent results
Trefelin – last 6
LLLLWW
21 Aug
vs Caernarfon Town
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–6
L
7 Aug
vs Llandudno
0–4
L
31 Jul
@ Colwyn Bay
0–2
L
3 Apr
vs Treowen Stars
6–0
W
30 Mar
@ Cwmbran Celtic
8–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ammanford AFC – last 6
LLDLWD
22 Aug
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–2
L
14 Aug
@ Airbus UK
0–2
L
7 Aug
vs Colwyn Bay
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Briton Ferry
1–2
L
3 Apr
vs Newport City
4–0
W
24 Mar
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Trefelin and Ammanford AFC.
What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
On our numbers Trefelin have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ammanford AFC 21%.
How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
Our predicted score is Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?
Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ynys Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.