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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Trefelin v Ammanford AFC: numbers & prediction

Premier League · Wales · Ynys Park
1–1
FT
Trefelin 57%Draw 22%Ammanford AFC 21% Expected goals 1.95 – 1.09
79%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultTrefelin to win ✗57% · @1.77
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.09

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Friday 28 August: Trefelin v Ammanford AFC in the Premier League, played at Ynys Park. In the table, Trefelin are 15th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 16 matches; Ammanford AFC are 14th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Trefelin, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Caernarfon Town, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.

Ammanford AFC, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to GAP Connah S Quay FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Trefelin 2.0 xG, Ammanford AFC 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Trefelin 57%, draw 22%, Ammanford AFC 21%.
  • Lower-risk option: Trefelin or draw (79%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford AFC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Trefelin57%fair 1.75 · @1.77
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.65
Ammanford AFC21%fair 4.84 · @3.80
3.04Expected goals
1.95Trefelin xG
1.09Ammanford AFC xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%

From our goals model: Trefelin 2.0 – 1.1 Ammanford AFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTrefelin to win ✗57%1.751.77
Double chanceTrefelin or draw ✓79%1.261.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.57
Draw no betTrefelin (draw no bet)73%1.36–
Asian handicapAmmanford AFC +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.261.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓64%1.561.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
First team to scoreTrefelin to score first ✗61%1.64–
Half-time resultTrefelin ahead at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Trefelin / FT Trefelin ✗36%2.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.09–

Recent results

Trefelin – last 6

LLLLWW
21 Augvs Caernarfon Town0–2L
14 Aug@ GAP Connah S Quay FC0–6L
7 Augvs Llandudno0–4L
31 Jul@ Colwyn Bay0–2L
3 Aprvs Treowen Stars6–0W
30 Mar@ Cwmbran Celtic8–1W
2.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Ammanford AFC – last 6

LLDLWD
22 Augvs GAP Connah S Quay FC0–2L
14 Aug@ Airbus UK0–2L
7 Augvs Colwyn Bay2–2D
31 Jul@ Briton Ferry1–2L
3 Aprvs Newport City4–0W
24 Marvs Cambrian & Clydach0–0D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Trefelin and Ammanford AFC.

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC head-to-head page →

Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1The New Saints161420+4844
2GAP Connah S Quay FC161222+2538
3Penybont151131+2136
4Colwyn Bay161024+1032
5Airbus UK161006+1030
6Caernarfon Town16925+2129
7Barry Town16925+629
8Cardiff MET16745+625
9Cambrian & Clydach16547-1519
10Llandudno165110-716
11Haverfordwest County AFC165110-1116
12Briton Ferry16439-1115
13Flint Town United164210-814
14Ammanford AFC163310-3012
15Trefelin161312-296
16Holywell150213-362

More Premier League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?

On our numbers Trefelin have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Ammanford AFC 21%.

How many goals will there be in Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?

Our predicted score is Trefelin 1–1 Ammanford AFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC?

Trefelin vs Ammanford AFC (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Ynys Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.