Airbus UK vs Trefelin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Trefelin travel to face Airbus UK on Saturday 3 October in the Premier League, with The Airfield the venue – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Airbus UK are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 16 matches; Trefelin are 15th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Airbus UK, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Penybont, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Trefelin, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to The New Saints, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Airbus UK, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Trefelin.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Airbus UK 2.3 xG, Trefelin 0.8 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Airbus UK 70%, draw 19%, Trefelin 10%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Airbus UK to win (70%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Airbus UK 2–0 Trefelin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Airbus UK70%fair 1.42 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.13 · @4.80
Trefelin10%fair 9.84 · @5.50
3.05Expected goals
2.28Airbus UK xG
0.77Trefelin xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–19%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Airbus UK 2.3 – 0.8 Trefelin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Airbus UK to win✓
70%
1.42
1.40
Double chance
Airbus UK or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
Airbus UK (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
Airbus UK -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Airbus UK to score first✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Airbus UK ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Airbus UK / FT Airbus UK✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.53
–
Recent results
Airbus UK – last 6
LWLLWW
26 Sep
@ Penybont
1–2
L
18 Sep
vs Flint Town United
4–1
W
15 Sep
@ GAP Connah S Quay FC
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs The New Saints
0–2
L
4 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
2–0
W
31 Aug
vs Holywell
6–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Trefelin – last 6
LDLLDL
26 Sep
vs The New Saints
1–3
L
18 Sep
@ Briton Ferry
1–1
D
15 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
0–4
L
11 Sep
vs Penybont
0–1
L
4 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Airbus UK and Trefelin.
Our pick is Airbus UK to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
On our numbers Airbus UK have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Trefelin 10%.
How many goals will there be in Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
Our predicted score is Airbus UK 2–0 Trefelin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Airbus UK vs Trefelin?
Airbus UK vs Trefelin (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at The Airfield.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
