Briton Ferry 15%Draw 20%Colwyn Bay 66%Expected goals 0.86 – 2.09
66%
Betarazi pick
Colwyn Bay to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultColwyn Bay to win ✗66% · @1.62
Double chanceColwyn Bay or draw ✗85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 3 October the Premier League brings Briton Ferry against Colwyn Bay at Old Road. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Briton Ferry are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Colwyn Bay are 4th (among the top four) with 32. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Briton Ferry, last 5: DDLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Holywell, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Colwyn Bay, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Haverfordwest County AFC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Colwyn Bay, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Briton Ferry.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Briton Ferry 0.9 xG, Colwyn Bay 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Briton Ferry 15%, draw 20%, Colwyn Bay 66%.
Lower-risk option: Colwyn Bay or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Colwyn Bay to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Briton Ferry 0–2 Colwyn Bay. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Briton Ferry15%fair 6.89 · @4.60
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @4.00
Colwyn Bay66%fair 1.52 · @1.62
2.95Expected goals
0.86Briton Ferry xG
2.09Colwyn Bay xG
59%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Briton Ferry 0.9 – 2.1 Colwyn Bay expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colwyn Bay to win✗
66%
1.52
1.62 ▲
Double chance
Colwyn Bay or draw✗
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.68
1.67
Draw no bet
Colwyn Bay (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Colwyn Bay -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Colwyn Bay to score first✗
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Colwyn Bay ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Colwyn Bay / FT Colwyn Bay✗
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.17
–
Recent results
Briton Ferry – last 6
DDLLLL
26 Sep
@ Holywell
1–1
D
18 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
15 Sep
@ Penybont
2–3
L
11 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
1–3
L
4 Sep
vs Airbus UK
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Barry Town
1–4
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Colwyn Bay – last 6
WWWWLW
26 Sep
vs Haverfordwest County AFC
1–0
W
18 Sep
vs Barry Town
5–2
W
15 Sep
@ Holywell
5–0
W
12 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Penybont
0–1
L
31 Aug
vs Llandudno
2–0
W
2.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Briton Ferry and Colwyn Bay.
What is the prediction for Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
Our pick is Colwyn Bay to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
On our numbers Briton Ferry have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Colwyn Bay 66%.
How many goals will there be in Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
Our predicted score is Briton Ferry 0–2 Colwyn Bay, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay?
Briton Ferry vs Colwyn Bay (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Old Road.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
