Ammanford AFC vs Holywell: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ammanford AFC welcome Holywell to Ammanford Recreation Ground for a Premier League fixture on Saturday 3 October (14:30 WAT). In the table, Ammanford AFC are 14th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 16 matches; Holywell are 16th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Ammanford AFC, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Flint Town United, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Holywell, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Briton Ferry, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ammanford AFC 1.8 xG, Holywell 2.1 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ammanford AFC 32%, draw 22%, Holywell 46%.
GG/NG: GG (70%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (70%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.44, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ammanford AFC 1–2 Holywell. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ammanford AFC32%fair 3.10 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.30
Holywell46%fair 2.17 · @2.20
3.91Expected goals
1.78Ammanford AFC xG
2.13Holywell xG
70%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Ammanford AFC 1.8 – 2.1 Holywell expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Holywell to win✗
46%
2.17
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
70%
1.44
1.55 ▲
Draw no bet
Holywell (draw no bet)✗
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Ammanford AFC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
First team to score
Holywell to score first
53%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Holywell ahead at half-time✗
38%
2.67
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Holywell / FT Holywell✗
29%
3.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Ammanford AFC – last 6
LLDLLL
26 Sep
@ Flint Town United
0–3
L
18 Sep
vs Penybont
1–5
L
15 Sep
@ Barry Town
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Caernarfon Town
0–5
L
4 Sep
@ Llandudno
0–2
L
31 Aug
vs Cardiff MET
0–5
L
0.5Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Holywell – last 6
DLLLDL
26 Sep
vs Briton Ferry
1–1
D
18 Sep
@ Haverfordwest County AFC
0–1
L
15 Sep
vs Colwyn Bay
0–5
L
11 Sep
@ Cambrian & Clydach
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Trefelin
1–1
D
31 Aug
@ Airbus UK
2–6
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ammanford AFC and Holywell.
What is the prediction for Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
On our numbers Ammanford AFC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Holywell 46%.
How many goals will there be in Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 70% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
Our predicted score is Ammanford AFC 1–2 Holywell, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Ammanford AFC vs Holywell?
Ammanford AFC vs Holywell (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Ammanford Recreation Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
