Caernarfon Town 63%Draw 21%Barry Town 15%Expected goals 2.81 – 1.46
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.55Odds
Picks by market
ResultCaernarfon Town to win ✗63% · @1.50
Double chanceCaernarfon Town or draw ✗85% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.55
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.41
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:30 WAT, Saturday 3 October: Caernarfon Town v Barry Town in the Premier League, played at The Oval. In the table, Caernarfon Town are 6th, upper half, on 29 points after 16 matches; Barry Town are 7th (upper half) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Caernarfon Town, last 5: DWDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Cardiff MET, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.7 a game lately.
Barry Town, last 5: LLDWL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to GAP Connah S Quay FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Caernarfon Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Barry Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Caernarfon Town 2.8 xG, Barry Town 1.5 xG – a total near 4.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 80% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Caernarfon Town 63%, draw 21%, Barry Town 15%.
Lower-risk option: Caernarfon Town or draw (85%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caernarfon Town 2–1 Barry Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Caernarfon Town63%fair 1.58 · @1.50
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.50
Barry Town15%fair 6.49 · @5.00
4.27Expected goals
2.81Caernarfon Town xG
1.46Barry Town xG
66%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–26%
1–16%
2–06%
3–26%
From our goals model: Caernarfon Town 2.8 – 1.5 Barry Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caernarfon Town to win✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Double chance
Caernarfon Town or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.55
Draw no bet
Caernarfon Town (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Caernarfon Town -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
93%
1.08
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
–
First team to score
Caernarfon Town to score first✗
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Caernarfon Town ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caernarfon Town / FT Caernarfon Town✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.41
–
Recent results
Caernarfon Town – last 6
DWDWWL
26 Sep
@ Cardiff MET
2–2
D
18 Sep
vs Cambrian & Clydach
9–1
W
15 Sep
@ Llandudno
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Ammanford AFC
5–0
W
4 Sep
vs Flint Town United
3–0
W
31 Aug
vs The New Saints
2–3
L
3.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Barry Town – last 6
LLDWLW
26 Sep
vs GAP Connah S Quay FC
1–4
L
18 Sep
@ Colwyn Bay
2–5
L
15 Sep
vs Ammanford AFC
2–2
D
11 Sep
vs Llandudno
4–1
W
5 Sep
@ The New Saints
0–1
L
31 Aug
@ Briton Ferry
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caernarfon Town and Barry Town.
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
On our numbers Caernarfon Town have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barry Town 15%.
How many goals will there be in Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Our predicted score is Caernarfon Town 2–1 Barry Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town?
Caernarfon Town vs Barry Town (Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at The Oval.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
