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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Amarante v Felgueiras 1932: numbers & prediction

Segunda Liga · Portugal · Amarante Stadium
Sun 15 Nov 2026
Amarante 40%Draw 28%Felgueiras 1932 32% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.14
67%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.40

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.98 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk.

Picks by market

ResultAmarante to win40% · @2.39
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.34
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.40

Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Amarante welcome Felgueiras 1932 to Amarante Stadium for a Segunda Liga fixture on Sunday 15 November (12:00 WAT). In the table, Amarante are 14th, lower half, on 9 points after 10 matches; Felgueiras 1932 are 15th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Amarante, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Academica, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Felgueiras 1932, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Leixoes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Amarante 1.2 xG, Felgueiras 1932 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Amarante 40%, draw 28%, Felgueiras 1932 32%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.98.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.98 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 56%.

Betarazi verdict

We are going with Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Amarante 1–1 Felgueiras 1932. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Amarante40%fair 2.52 · @2.39
Draw28%fair 3.57 · @2.98
Felgueiras 193232%fair 3.10 · @3.02
2.37Expected goals
1.23Amarante xG
1.14Felgueiras 1932 xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Amarante 1.2 – 1.1 Felgueiras 1932 expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

AmaranteFelgueiras 1932
Attack vs Segunda Liga average-18%-3%
Goals conceded vs average+1%+9%
Our expected goals here1.201.19

Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAmarante to win40%2.522.39
Double chanceEither team to win72%1.391.34
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score56%1.781.98 ▲
Draw no betAmarante (draw no bet)55%1.81–
Asian handicapFelgueiras 1932 +0.5 (Asian handicap)62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals67%1.501.40
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals59%1.691.53
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.261.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals90%1.111.02
First team to scoreAmarante to score first47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Amarante / FT Amarante22%4.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18%12.40–

Recent results

Amarante – last 6

DWLLLW
7 Nov@ Academica1–1D
31 Octvs FC Porto B2–1W
26 Oct@ Torreense0–1L
17 Oct@ Academica2–3L
10 Octvs Portimonense1–2L
20 Sep@ Ponte da Barca2–0W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Felgueiras 1932 – last 6

DLDWLW
7 Novvs Leixoes3–3D
1 Nov@ Tondela2–3L
25 Octvs Lusitânia Lourosa2–2D
18 Octvs Fafe1–0W
12 Oct@ Benfica B0–1L
19 Sep@ Naval 18932–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Amarante and Felgueiras 1932.

Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 head-to-head page →

Segunda Liga table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Penafiel10712+1222
2Sporting CP B10712+822
3Benfica B10622+620
4Lusitânia Lourosa10541+619
5União de Leiria10523+317
6Academica10514+316
7Tondela10514+216
8Farense10433+315
9Vizela10433+115
10Portimonense10424-314
11AVS10343+113
12Leixoes10325-411
13Torreense10244-310
14Amarante10235-49
15Felgueiras 193210154-38
16FC Porto B10226-108
17Chaves10226-108
18Feirense10127-85

More Segunda Liga predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?

On our numbers Amarante have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Felgueiras 1932 32%.

How many goals will there be in Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?

Our predicted score is Amarante 1–1 Felgueiras 1932, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932?

Amarante vs Felgueiras 1932 (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Amarante Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.