Value bet: Academica to win @ 2.93 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultAcademica to win37% · @2.93
Double chanceEither team to win73% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 12.27
Portimonense vs Academica: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Portimonense v Academica in the Segunda Liga. In the table, Portimonense are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Academica are 6th (upper half) with 16. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Portimonense, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over FC Porto B, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Academica, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Amarante, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Portimonense 1.1 xG, Academica 1.2 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Portimonense 35%, draw 27%, Academica 37%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Academica to win @2.93 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Betarazi verdict
We are going with Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Portimonense 1–1 Academica. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Portimonense35%fair 2.82 · @2.31
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @3.20
Academica37%fair 2.68 · @2.93
2.35Expected goals
1.11Portimonense xG
1.24Academica xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Portimonense 1.1 – 1.2 Academica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Portimonense
Academica
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
-25%
+15%
Goals conceded vs average
-11%
-2%
Our expected goals here
0.98
1.25
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Academica to win
37%
2.68
2.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
73%
1.37
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.88
1.80
Draw no bet
Academica (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Portimonense +0.5 (Asian handicap)
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.77
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
89%
1.12
1.04
First team to score
Academica to score first
48%
2.09
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Academica / FT Academica
23%
4.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
12.27
–
Recent results
Portimonense – last 6
WDLWWW
8 Nov
@ FC Porto B
1–0
W
31 Oct
vs Torreense
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Sporting CP B
0–3
L
17 Oct
@ Florgrade
2–1
W
10 Oct
@ Amarante
2–1
W
19 Sep
@ Castro Daire
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Academica – last 6
DLWWWW
7 Nov
vs Amarante
1–1
D
1 Nov
@ Vizela
1–2
L
24 Oct
vs Leixoes
4–0
W
17 Oct
vs Amarante
3–2
W
11 Oct
@ União de Leiria
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Real
4–1
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portimonense and Academica.
What is the prediction for Portimonense vs Academica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Portimonense vs Academica?
On our numbers Portimonense have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Academica 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portimonense vs Academica?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portimonense vs Academica?
Our predicted score is Portimonense 1–1 Academica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Portimonense vs Academica?
Portimonense vs Academica (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
