Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Picks by market
ResultLeixoes to win47% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score64% · @1.72
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.75
Leixoes vs Chaves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Sunday 15 November: Leixoes v Chaves in the Segunda Liga. In the table, Leixoes are 12th, lower half, on 11 points after 10 matches; Chaves are 17th (in the drop zone) with 8. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Leixoes, last 5: DLLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Felgueiras 1932, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Chaves, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Penafiel, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Chaves, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Leixoes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Leixoes 1.8 xG, Chaves 1.4 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Leixoes 47%, draw 23%, Chaves 29%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.72.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.72 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 64%.
Betarazi verdict
The Betarazi pick is Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Leixoes 1–1 Chaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Leixoes47%fair 2.11 · @1.98
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.42
Chaves29%fair 3.40 · @3.46
3.19Expected goals
1.81Leixoes xG
1.38Chaves xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–07%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Leixoes 1.8 – 1.4 Chaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Leixoes
Chaves
Attack vs Segunda Liga average
+11%
-2%
Goals conceded vs average
+31%
+40%
Our expected goals here
2.09
1.58
Our own ratings from every Segunda Liga result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Leixoes to win
47%
2.11
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win
77%
1.30
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
64%
1.57
1.72 ▲
Draw no bet
Leixoes (draw no bet)
62%
1.62
–
Asian handicap
Chaves +1 (Asian handicap)
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
56%
1.79
1.88
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
65%
1.53
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
81%
1.23
1.08
First team to score
Leixoes to score first
54%
1.84
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.63
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Leixoes / FT Leixoes
29%
3.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Leixoes – last 6
DLLLLW
7 Nov
@ Felgueiras 1932
3–3
D
31 Oct
vs Sporting CP B
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Academica
0–4
L
17 Oct
@ Vianense
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs FC Porto B
1–2
L
20 Sep
@ Cinfães
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Chaves – last 6
LLWWDL
7 Nov
vs Penafiel
2–3
L
31 Oct
@ Benfica B
1–3
L
23 Oct
vs Vizela
2–1
W
16 Oct
vs Os Marialvas
2–1
W
11 Oct
@ Lusitânia Lourosa
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ Farense
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Leixoes and Chaves.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Leixoes vs Chaves?
On our numbers Leixoes have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Chaves 29%.
How many goals will there be in Leixoes vs Chaves?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Leixoes vs Chaves?
Our predicted score is Leixoes 1–1 Chaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Leixoes vs Chaves?
Leixoes vs Chaves (Segunda Liga) kicks off on Sunday 15 November 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
