Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.27 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.27Odds
2
Value bet: Nizhny Novgorod to win @ 2.14 – our chance 56% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNizhny Novgorod to win ✓56% · @2.14
Double chanceNizhny Novgorod or draw ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.91
KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 July the First League brings KAMAZ against Nizhny Novgorod at KAMAZ Stadium. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, KAMAZ are 16th, in the drop zone, on 14 points after 17 matches; Nizhny Novgorod are 1st (leading the league) with 46. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KAMAZ, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Spartak Kostroma, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Nizhny Novgorod, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Rotor Volgograd, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KAMAZ 1.3 xG, Nizhny Novgorod 2.5 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KAMAZ 22%, draw 22%, Nizhny Novgorod 56%.
Lower-risk option: Nizhny Novgorod or draw (78%) at 1.29.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Nizhny Novgorod to win @2.14 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.27). Most likely score in line with that pick: KAMAZ 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KAMAZ22%fair 4.63 · @3.32
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.22
Nizhny Novgorod56%fair 1.77 · @2.14
3.76Expected goals
1.25KAMAZ xG
2.51Nizhny Novgorod xG
62%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
1–17%
0–27%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: KAMAZ 1.3 – 2.5 Nizhny Novgorod expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
KAMAZ
Nizhny Novgorod
Attack vs First League average
-3%
+100%
Goals conceded vs average
+18%
-32%
Our expected goals here
0.99
2.76
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nizhny Novgorod to win✓
56%
1.77
2.14 ▲
Double chance
Nizhny Novgorod or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.77 ▲
Draw no bet
Nizhny Novgorod (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Nizhny Novgorod -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
1.24
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.04
First team to score
Nizhny Novgorod to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Nizhny Novgorod ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.04
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nizhny Novgorod / FT Nizhny Novgorod✓
43%
2.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
KAMAZ – last 6
LLDDLW
12 Jul
@ Spartak Kostroma
1–3
L
1 Jul
vs FK Neftekhimik
2–3
L
26 Jun
@ Rubin
1–1
D
18 Jun
@ FK Neftekhimik
0–0
D
11 May
@ Ural
0–2
L
1 May
vs Spartak Kostroma
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nizhny Novgorod – last 6
WLDLLL
12 Jul
vs Rotor Volgograd
4–2
W
4 Jul
@ Dynamo
1–2
L
17 May
@ Rubin
2–2
D
11 May
vs CSKA Moscow
1–2
L
26 Apr
vs Spartak Moscow
1–2
L
22 Apr
@ FC Orenburg
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KAMAZ and Nizhny Novgorod.
What is the prediction for KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.27.
Who will win KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
On our numbers KAMAZ have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nizhny Novgorod 56%.
How many goals will there be in KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
Our predicted score is KAMAZ 1–2 Nizhny Novgorod, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod?
KAMAZ vs Nizhny Novgorod (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at KAMAZ Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
