Arsenal Tula 54%Draw 25%FK Neftekhimik 20%Expected goals 1.46 – 0.85
67%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.34 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.34Odds
Picks by market
ResultArsenal Tula to win ✗54% · @1.72
Double chanceArsenal Tula or draw ✗80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.02
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.11
Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 July the First League brings Arsenal Tula against FK Neftekhimik at Stadion Arsenal. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Arsenal Tula are 12th, lower half, on 19 points after 17 matches; FK Neftekhimik are 17th (in the drop zone) with 13.
Current form
Arsenal Tula, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Tekstilshchik, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
FK Neftekhimik, last 5: LWDWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Veles, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arsenal Tula 1.5 xG, FK Neftekhimik 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arsenal Tula 54%, draw 25%, FK Neftekhimik 20%.
Lower-risk option: Arsenal Tula or draw (80%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.02.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (67%, odds 1.34). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arsenal Tula 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arsenal Tula54%fair 1.84 · @1.72
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.32
FK Neftekhimik20%fair 4.95 · @5.10
2.31Expected goals
1.46Arsenal Tula xG
0.85FK Neftekhimik xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Arsenal Tula 1.5 – 0.8 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Arsenal Tula
FK Neftekhimik
Attack vs First League average
-6%
-38%
Goals conceded vs average
+37%
+7%
Our expected goals here
1.49
0.99
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Arsenal Tula to win✗
54%
1.84
1.72
Double chance
Arsenal Tula or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.02
Draw no bet
Arsenal Tula (draw no bet)✗
73%
1.37
–
Asian handicap
FK Neftekhimik +1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.03
First team to score
Arsenal Tula to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Arsenal Tula / FT Arsenal Tula✗
31%
3.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Arsenal Tula – last 6
WDDDLL
13 Jul
vs Tekstilshchik
2–1
W
4 Jul
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
26 Jun
@ FC Sochi
3–3
D
21 Jun
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
11 May
@ Enisey
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
FK Neftekhimik – last 6
LWDWDL
11 Jul
vs Veles
0–1
L
1 Jul
@ KAMAZ
3–2
W
28 Jun
@ Krylia Sovetov
1–1
D
25 Jun
@ FC Orenburg
1–0
W
18 Jun
vs KAMAZ
0–0
D
16 May
@ Ska-khabarovsk
0–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arsenal Tula and FK Neftekhimik.
What is the prediction for Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.34.
Who will win Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
On our numbers Arsenal Tula have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Neftekhimik 20%.
How many goals will there be in Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
Our predicted score is Arsenal Tula 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik?
Arsenal Tula vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Arsenal.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
