Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.23 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.23Odds
Picks by market
ResultShinnik Yaroslavl to win ✓52% · @1.97
Double chanceShinnik Yaroslavl or draw ✓78% · @1.23
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.89
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.24
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 19 July: Shinnik Yaroslavl v Leningradets in the First League, played at Stadion Shinnik. In the table, Shinnik Yaroslavl are 7th, upper half, on 26 points after 17 matches; Leningradets are 13th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Shinnik Yaroslavl, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with FC Sochi, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Leningradets, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to FC UFA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Shinnik Yaroslavl, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Leningradets.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.7 xG, Leningradets 1.0 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Shinnik Yaroslavl 52%, draw 26%, Leningradets 22%.
Lower-risk option: Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (78%) at 1.23.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.89.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw (78%, odds 1.23). Most likely score in line with that pick: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Leningradets. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Shinnik Yaroslavl52%fair 1.92 · @1.97
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.22
Leningradets22%fair 4.59 · @3.84
2.71Expected goals
1.74Shinnik Yaroslavl xG
0.97Leningradets xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Shinnik Yaroslavl 1.7 – 1.0 Leningradets expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Leningradets
Attack vs First League average
-5%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-19%
+11%
Our expected goals here
1.56
0.78
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Shinnik Yaroslavl to win✓
52%
1.92
1.97
Double chance
Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.23
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.89
Draw no bet
Shinnik Yaroslavl (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.42
–
Asian handicap
Leningradets +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
1.02
First team to score
Shinnik Yaroslavl to score first✓
60%
1.67
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Shinnik Yaroslavl / FT Shinnik Yaroslavl✗
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.24
–
Recent results
Shinnik Yaroslavl – last 6
DDDWDW
12 Jul
vs FC Sochi
2–2
D
30 Jun
@ CSKA Moscow
1–1
D
11 May
vs Torpedo Moskva
1–1
D
4 May
@ Ural
1–0
W
22 Apr
@ Fakel
2–2
D
12 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Leningradets – last 6
LLDWWL
11 Jul
@ FC UFA
0–3
L
4 Jul
@ Dinamo Makhachkala
0–3
L
13 Jun
@ Veles
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Torpedo Miass
3–1
W
31 May
@ Tekstilshchik
2–0
W
27 May
vs Volgar Astrakhan
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shinnik Yaroslavl and Leningradets.
What is the prediction for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets?
Our pick is Shinnik Yaroslavl or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.23.
Who will win Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets?
On our numbers Shinnik Yaroslavl have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Leningradets 22%.
How many goals will there be in Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets?
Our predicted score is Shinnik Yaroslavl 1–0 Leningradets, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets?
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Leningradets (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Shinnik.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
