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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Torpedo Moskva v Volga Ulyanovsk: numbers & prediction

First League · Russia · Arena Khimki
3–1
FT
Torpedo Moskva 59%Draw 24%Volga Ulyanovsk 17% Expected goals 1.60 – 0.70
77%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.21Odds

Picks by market

ResultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓59% · @1.72
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓83% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.98
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.15

Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Volga Ulyanovsk travel to face Torpedo Moskva on Sunday 19 July in the First League, with Arena Khimki the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Torpedo Moskva are 3rd, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Volga Ulyanovsk are 9th (upper half) with 22.

Current form

Torpedo Moskva, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Ural, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Volga Ulyanovsk, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Enisey, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Torpedo Moskva, collecting 2.3 points per game to 0.7 for Volga Ulyanovsk.

Head to head

When they last met (22 Jun 2026) it ended Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Volga Ulyanovsk.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Torpedo Moskva 1.6 xG, Volga Ulyanovsk 0.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Torpedo Moskva 59%, draw 24%, Volga Ulyanovsk 17%.
  • Lower-risk option: Torpedo Moskva or draw (83%) at 1.16.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.98.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Volga Ulyanovsk. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Torpedo Moskva59%fair 1.70 · @1.72
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.54
Volga Ulyanovsk17%fair 5.98 · @4.65
2.30Expected goals
1.60Torpedo Moskva xG
0.70Volga Ulyanovsk xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
0–17%

From our goals model: Torpedo Moskva 1.6 – 0.7 Volga Ulyanovsk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Torpedo MoskvaVolga Ulyanovsk
Attack vs First League average+19%-10%
Goals conceded vs average-32%-5%
Our expected goals here1.690.72

Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTorpedo Moskva to win ✓59%1.701.72
Double chanceTorpedo Moskva or draw ✓83%1.201.16
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.98 ▲
Draw no betTorpedo Moskva (draw no bet) ✓78%1.28–
Asian handicapVolga Ulyanovsk +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓67%1.481.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗58%1.741.69
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77%1.291.21
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.04
First team to scoreTorpedo Moskva to score first ✓63%1.60–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.24–
Half-time / full-timeHT Torpedo Moskva / FT Torpedo Moskva ✓36%2.76–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.15–

Recent results

Torpedo Moskva – last 6

WWWWDD
13 Jul@ Ural1–0W
3 Jul@ FC Sochi3–0W
27 Jun@ Dynamo2–0W
22 Junvs Volga Ulyanovsk1–0W
11 May@ Shinnik Yaroslavl1–1D
27 Aprvs Fakel2–2D
1.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6

LDLLWL
11 Julvs Enisey1–2L
28 Jun@ Spartak Kostroma1–1D
26 Jun@ Baltika0–3L
22 Jun@ Torpedo Moskva0–1L
17 Jun@ Arsenal Tula2–1W
3 Mayvs FK Sokol Saratov0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

22 Jun 2026Torpedo Moskva v Volga Ulyanovsk1–0
Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk head-to-head page →

First League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Nizhny Novgorod171511+3746
2Ural171043+1834
3Torpedo Moskva17953+1632
4FC Sochi171025+632
5Veles18945+231
6Spartak Kostroma17845+228
7Shinnik Yaroslavl17683+426
8FC UFA17575+222
9Volga Ulyanovsk18648-322
10Rotor Volgograd17566+521
11Chelyabinsk17638-421
12Arsenal Tula17548-1519
13Leningradets17467-1118
14Enisey17458-1417
15Ska-khabarovsk17449-516
16KAMAZ17359-914
17FK Neftekhimik174112-1413
18Tekstilshchik172510-1711

More First League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.

Who will win Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

On our numbers Torpedo Moskva have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Volga Ulyanovsk 17%.

How many goals will there be in Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Our predicted score is Torpedo Moskva 1–0 Volga Ulyanovsk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk?

Torpedo Moskva vs Volga Ulyanovsk (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Arena Khimki.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.