Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.97 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultFC Sochi to win ✗46% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.31
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.97
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 July the First League brings FC Sochi against Spartak Kostroma at Fisht Olympic Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, FC Sochi are 4th, among the top four, on 32 points after 17 matches; Spartak Kostroma are 6th (upper half) with 28.
Current form
FC Sochi, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Shinnik Yaroslavl, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Spartak Kostroma, last 5: WLLDD Their latest outing: 3–1 win over KAMAZ, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FC Sochi 1.7 xG, Spartak Kostroma 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 49% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FC Sochi 46%, draw 26%, Spartak Kostroma 28%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.97.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.97 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: FC Sochi 1–1 Spartak Kostroma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FC Sochi46%fair 2.18 · @1.98
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.20
Spartak Kostroma28%fair 3.57 · @3.82
2.92Expected goals
1.69FC Sochi xG
1.23Spartak Kostroma xG
59%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
2–19%
1–09%
2–08%
1–27%
0–17%
From our goals model: FC Sochi 1.7 – 1.2 Spartak Kostroma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FC Sochi
Spartak Kostroma
Attack vs First League average
+7%
-4%
Goals conceded vs average
-9%
-5%
Our expected goals here
1.51
1.03
Our own ratings from every First League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Sochi to win✗
46%
2.18
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.36
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.97 ▲
Draw no bet
FC Sochi (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.61
–
Asian handicap
Spartak Kostroma +1 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
1.02
First team to score
FC Sochi to score first✗
55%
1.82
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Sochi / FT FC Sochi✗
29%
3.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Recent results
FC Sochi – last 6
DLWDDL
12 Jul
@ Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
3 Jul
vs Torpedo Moskva
0–3
L
30 Jun
vs Ska-khabarovsk
4–2
W
26 Jun
vs Arsenal Tula
3–3
D
17 May
vs Akhmat
1–1
D
10 May
@ Zenit
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Spartak Kostroma – last 6
WLLDDD
12 Jul
vs KAMAZ
3–1
W
3 Jul
@ Lokomotiv
0–2
L
2 Jul
@ Spartak Moscow
0–1
L
28 Jun
vs Volga Ulyanovsk
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Arsenal Tula
1–1
D
10 May
@ FK Sokol Saratov
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Sochi and Spartak Kostroma.
What is the prediction for FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
On our numbers FC Sochi have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Spartak Kostroma 28%.
How many goals will there be in FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
Our predicted score is FC Sochi 1–1 Spartak Kostroma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma?
FC Sochi vs Spartak Kostroma (First League) kicks off on Sunday 19 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Fisht Olympic Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
