Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✓5% · fair 19.15
Alaves vs Castellón: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alaves welcome Castellón for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 31 July (09:30 WAT).
Current form
Alaves, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Girona, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Castellón, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Girona, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alaves 1.8 xG, Castellón 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alaves 54%, draw 24%, Castellón 22%.
Lower-risk option: Alaves or draw (78%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Alaves to win (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alaves 1–0 Castellón. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alaves54%fair 1.85 · @1.73
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.50
Castellón22%fair 4.58 · @4.00
2.84Expected goals
1.75Alaves xG
1.09Castellón xG
49%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
1–26%
From our goals model: Alaves 1.8 – 1.1 Castellón expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Alaves
Castellón
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-3%
-6%
Goals conceded vs average
-24%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.72
1.16
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alaves to win✓
54%
1.85
1.73
Double chance
Alaves or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
–
Draw no bet
Alaves (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Castellón +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Alaves to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alaves / FT Alaves✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✓
5%
19.15
–
Recent results
Alaves – last 6
WDWWDL
25 Jul
@ Girona
1–0
W
18 Jul
vs Eibar
1–1
D
17 May
@ Oviedo
1–0
W
13 May
vs Barcelona
1–0
W
9 May
@ Elche
1–1
D
21 Apr
@ Real Madrid
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Castellón – last 6
DWWLDW
29 Jul
@ Girona
3–3
D
25 Jul
@ Valencia
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
9 Jun
@ Almeria
2–3
L
6 Jun
vs Almeria
1–1
D
31 May
vs Eibar
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alaves and Castellón.
Our pick is Alaves to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Alaves vs Castellón?
On our numbers Alaves have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Castellón 22%.
How many goals will there be in Alaves vs Castellón?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alaves vs Castellón?
Our predicted score is Alaves 1–0 Castellón, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Alaves vs Castellón?
Alaves vs Castellón (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 09:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Elche2
Cordoba2
Albacete1
Real Madrid II2
Las Palmas0
NEOM1
1. FC Köln2
Hertha BSC2
Fortuna Düsseldorf II2
TSV Steinbach4
FSV Mainz 051
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai0
Den Bosch2
Al-Fayha0
Monaco2
Cercle Brugge2