Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.95 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlbacete to win ✗49% · @1.80
Double chanceAlbacete or draw ✗75% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.95
Albacete vs Real Madrid II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
10:00 WAT, Friday 31 July: Albacete v Real Madrid II in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
Albacete, last 5: DLWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leganes, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Real Madrid II, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Sabadell, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Albacete 1.3 xG, Real Madrid II 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Albacete 49%, draw 27%, Real Madrid II 25%.
Lower-risk option: Albacete or draw (75%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Albacete 1–0 Real Madrid II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Albacete49%fair 2.05 · @1.80
Draw27%fair 3.77 · @3.50
Real Madrid II25%fair 4.04 · @3.85
2.24Expected goals
1.28Albacete xG
0.96Real Madrid II xG
54%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Albacete 1.3 – 1.0 Real Madrid II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Albacete
Real Madrid II
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-18%
-18%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
-13%
Our expected goals here
1.23
1.16
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Albacete to win✗
49%
2.05
1.80
Double chance
Albacete or draw✗
75%
1.33
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.67
Draw no bet
Albacete (draw no bet)✗
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Real Madrid II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.95 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Albacete to score first✗
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Albacete / FT Albacete✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.95
–
Recent results
Albacete – last 6
DLWWLD
17 Jul
@ Leganes
0–0
D
30 May
@ AD Ceuta FC
0–1
L
24 May
vs Real Sociedad II
3–1
W
1 May
@ FC Andorra
1–0
W
24 Apr
vs Eibar
0–3
L
31 Mar
@ Mirandes
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Real Madrid II – last 6
LWDWLL
5 Jun
@ Sabadell
0–3
L
29 May
vs Sabadell
2–0
W
14 Apr
vs Ourense CF
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Celta de Vigo II
5–1
W
27 Mar
@ Barakaldo
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Ponferradina
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Albacete and Real Madrid II.
What is the prediction for Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
On our numbers Albacete have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Real Madrid II 25%.
How many goals will there be in Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
Our predicted score is Albacete 1–0 Real Madrid II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Albacete vs Real Madrid II?
Albacete vs Real Madrid II (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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