Value bet: NEOM to win @ 3.30 – our chance 33% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLas Palmas to win ✗43% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.35
Las Palmas vs NEOM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Las Palmas welcome NEOM for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 31 July (10:00 WAT).
Current form
Las Palmas, last 5: WLDDL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over União de Leiria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
NEOM, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Orlando Pirates, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours NEOM, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Las Palmas.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Las Palmas 1.3 xG, NEOM 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Las Palmas 43%, draw 24%, NEOM 33%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.55.
Price worth noting: NEOM to win @3.30 – the bookmaker implies 30%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Las Palmas 1–1 NEOM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Las Palmas43%fair 2.33 · @1.91
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.60
NEOM33%fair 3.05 · @3.30
2.63Expected goals
1.30Las Palmas xG
1.33NEOM xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Las Palmas 1.3 – 1.3 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Las Palmas
NEOM
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-8%
-15%
Goals conceded vs average
-2%
-27%
Our expected goals here
1.07
1.47
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Las Palmas to win✗
43%
2.33
1.91
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.55
Draw no bet
Las Palmas (draw no bet)✗
57%
1.76
–
Asian handicap
Las Palmas +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
NEOM to score first✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✓
22%
4.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.35
–
Recent results
Las Palmas – last 6
WLDDLW
28 Jul
vs União de Leiria
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
1–1
D
10 Jun
@ Malaga
1–1
D
7 Jun
vs Malaga
0–1
L
31 May
@ Deportivo La Coruna
2–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
NEOM – last 6
WDDWDW
24 Jul
@ Orlando Pirates
1–0
W
17 Jul
@ Peterborough
0–0
D
21 May
vs Al-Ettifaq
1–1
D
11 May
vs Al Shabab
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Al-Hazm
1–1
D
8 Apr
@ Al-Ittihad FC
4–3
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Las Palmas and NEOM.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Las Palmas vs NEOM?
On our numbers Las Palmas have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and NEOM 33%.
How many goals will there be in Las Palmas vs NEOM?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Palmas vs NEOM?
Our predicted score is Las Palmas 1–1 NEOM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Las Palmas vs NEOM?
Las Palmas vs NEOM (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 10:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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