FSV Mainz 05 49%Draw 23%Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 28%Expected goals 2.28 – 1.60
64%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultFSV Mainz 05 to win ✓49% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · fair 1.66
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗64% · @1.75
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.65
FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
FSV Mainz 05 welcome Shabab Al Ahli Dubai for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Friday 31 July (15:00 WAT).
Current form
FSV Mainz 05, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Holstein Kiel, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.5 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Udinese, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours FSV Mainz 05, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give FSV Mainz 05 2.3 xG, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 1.6 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – FSV Mainz 05 49%, draw 23%, Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 28%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.56, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
FSV Mainz 0549%fair 2.04 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.40
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai28%fair 3.57 · @2.62
3.88Expected goals
2.28FSV Mainz 05 xG
1.60Shabab Al Ahli Dubai xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–05%
From our goals model: FSV Mainz 05 2.3 – 1.6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
FSV Mainz 05
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+64%
-10%
Goals conceded vs average
-36%
-13%
Our expected goals here
2.03
1.28
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FSV Mainz 05 to win✓
49%
2.04
2.25 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
–
Draw no bet
FSV Mainz 05 (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
1.75 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
First team to score
FSV Mainz 05 to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
FSV Mainz 05 ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FSV Mainz 05 / FT FSV Mainz 05✗
34%
2.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
FSV Mainz 05 – last 6
WWWLWW
25 Jul
vs Holstein Kiel
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ Eisbachtal
10–0
W
16 Apr
@ Strasbourg
0–4
L
9 Apr
vs Strasbourg
2–0
W
22 Mar
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai – last 6
WLWDLW
28 Jul
@ Udinese
2–1
W
13 Jul
@ Sigma Olomouc
0–2
L
6 May
vs Al Nasr
2–1
W
29 Apr
vs Khorfakkan
3–3
D
21 Apr
@ Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
14 Apr
@ Tractor Sazi
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FSV Mainz 05 and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai.
What is the prediction for FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
On our numbers FSV Mainz 05 have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 28%.
How many goals will there be in FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
Our predicted score is FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai?
FSV Mainz 05 vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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