Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.28 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Hertha BSC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
Result1. FC Köln to win ✗48% · @1.84
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓73% · @1.28
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓79% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗6% · fair 17.07
1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
11:00 WAT, Friday 31 July: 1. FC Köln v Hertha BSC in the Friendlies Clubs.
Current form
1. FC Köln, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 8–0 win over Bergisch Gladbach, away. 2.6 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Hertha BSC, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mamelodi Sundowns, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 2 lost from 5. 5.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give 1. FC Köln 2.4 xG, Hertha BSC 2.3 xG – a total near 4.8. That is an open game on paper: 79% for three or more goals, 73% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – 1. FC Köln 48%, draw 20%, Hertha BSC 32%.
GG/NG: GG (73%) at 1.28.
Price worth noting: Hertha BSC to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (79%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: 1. FC Köln 2–2 Hertha BSC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
1. FC Köln48%fair 2.10 · @1.84
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @4.30
Hertha BSC32%fair 3.11 · @3.40
4.77Expected goals
2.431. FC Köln xG
2.34Hertha BSC xG
73%Both score
79%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–16%
1–26%
3–26%
2–35%
1–15%
From our goals model: 1. FC Köln 2.4 – 2.3 Hertha BSC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
1. FC Köln
Hertha BSC
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
+38%
+74%
Goals conceded vs average
-17%
-19%
Our expected goals here
1.93
2.33
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
1. FC Köln to win✗
48%
2.10
1.84
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.25
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Draw no bet
1. FC Köln (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Hertha BSC +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.08
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.60
1.70 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.48
First team to score
1. FC Köln to score first✓
50%
1.98
–
Half-time result
1. FC Köln ahead at half-time✓
36%
2.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT 1. FC Köln / FT 1. FC Köln✗
26%
3.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
6%
17.07
–
Recent results
1. FC Köln – last 5
WDDLD
23 Jul
@ Bergisch Gladbach
8–0
W
17 Apr
@ FC St. Pauli
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Eintracht Frankfurt
2–2
D
27 Feb
@ FC Augsburg
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs 1899 Hoffenheim
2–2
D
2.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Hertha BSC – last 6
DLWWWL
21 Jul
vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1–1
D
17 Jul
@ WSG Wattens
2–3
L
11 Jul
@ Lokomotive Leipzig
3–1
W
8 Jul
@ Lichtenberg
9–0
W
4 Jul
@ Frohnauer
15–0
W
17 May
@ Arminia Bielefeld
1–6
L
5.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between 1. FC Köln and Hertha BSC.
What is the prediction for 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
On our numbers 1. FC Köln have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Hertha BSC 32%.
How many goals will there be in 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 79% likely and both teams score 73% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
Our predicted score is 1. FC Köln 2–2 Hertha BSC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is 1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC?
1. FC Köln vs Hertha BSC (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 31 July 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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