Value bet: Accrington ST to win @ 3.45 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSheffield Wednesday to win ✗42% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 14.37
Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sheffield Wednesday travel to face Accrington ST on Saturday 1 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT.
Current form
Accrington ST, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bury, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Sheffield Wednesday, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Accrington ST, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Accrington ST 1.3 xG, Sheffield Wednesday 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Accrington ST 35%, draw 22%, Sheffield Wednesday 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Accrington ST to win @3.45 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Accrington ST 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Accrington ST35%fair 2.84 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.55
Sheffield Wednesday42%fair 2.36 · @1.90
2.33Expected goals
1.27Accrington ST xG
1.06Sheffield Wednesday xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Accrington ST 1.3 – 1.1 Sheffield Wednesday expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Accrington ST
Sheffield Wednesday
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average
-15%
-22%
Goals conceded vs average
-38%
+3%
Our expected goals here
1.51
0.78
Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheffield Wednesday to win✗
42%
2.36
1.90
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.60
Draw no bet
Sheffield Wednesday (draw no bet)
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Sheffield Wednesday +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
2.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Accrington ST to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Accrington ST / FT Accrington ST✗
24%
4.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
14.37
–
Recent results
Accrington ST – last 6
WWWDLL
28 Jul
vs Bury
1–0
W
25 Jul
@ Chorley
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Bradford
1–0
W
11 Jul
vs Blackburn
0–0
D
14 Apr
@ Colchester
1–2
L
6 Apr
@ Gillingham
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sheffield Wednesday – last 6
DWDLWL
1 Aug
@ Accrington ST
0–0
D
18 Jul
vs Preston
3–2
W
14 Jul
@ Hallam
0–0
D
11 Jul
vs West Brom
0–3
L
2 May
vs West Brom
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Middlesbrough
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Accrington ST and Sheffield Wednesday.
What is the prediction for Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday?
On our numbers Accrington ST have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Sheffield Wednesday 42%.
How many goals will there be in Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Our predicted score is Accrington ST 1–1 Sheffield Wednesday, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday?
Accrington ST vs Sheffield Wednesday (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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