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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Blackpool v Port Vale: numbers & prediction

0–1
FT
Blackpool 33%Draw 24%Port Vale 43% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.71
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Port Vale to win @ 3.10 – our chance 43% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +34%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultPort Vale to win ✓43% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.53

Blackpool vs Port Vale: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Blackpool v Port Vale in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Blackpool, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Barrow, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Port Vale, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Real Murcia, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Port Vale, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Blackpool.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Mar 2026) it ended Blackpool 3–2 Port Vale.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Blackpool 1.2 xG, Port Vale 1.7 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Blackpool 33%, draw 24%, Port Vale 43%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Port Vale to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 43%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Blackpool33%fair 3.04 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.35
Port Vale43%fair 2.31 · @3.10
2.94Expected goals
1.23Blackpool xG
1.71Port Vale xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–28%
2–17%
1–06%

From our goals model: Blackpool 1.2 – 1.7 Port Vale expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

BlackpoolPort Vale
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-15%+18%
Goals conceded vs average-1%-29%
Our expected goals here1.051.88

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPort Vale to win ✓43%2.313.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.311.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.65
Draw no betPort Vale (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapBlackpool +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.311.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.851.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.481.35
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.21–
First team to scorePort Vale to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Port Vale / FT Port Vale ✗30%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.53–

Recent results

Blackpool – last 6

LLWLWW
25 Jul@ Barrow0–2L
18 Jul@ Tranmere0–2L
11 Jul@ AFC Fylde3–2W
6 Apr@ Stevenage0–1L
3 Aprvs Exeter City1–0W
17 Marvs Port Vale3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Port Vale – last 6

WWWWLD
25 Julvs Real Murcia1–0W
18 Jul@ Wigan3–1W
14 Julvs Tamworth5–0W
28 Apr@ Stockport County2–1W
22 Apr@ Cardiff0–1L
19 Aprvs Wigan0–0D
1.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Mar 2026Blackpool v Port Vale3–2
Blackpool vs Port Vale head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Blackpool vs Port Vale?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Blackpool vs Port Vale?

On our numbers Blackpool have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Port Vale 43%.

How many goals will there be in Blackpool vs Port Vale?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Blackpool vs Port Vale?

Our predicted score is Blackpool 1–1 Port Vale, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Blackpool vs Port Vale?

Blackpool vs Port Vale (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.