Bognor Regis Town v Chichester City Prediction & Expected Goals (1 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultChichester City to win ✗48% · @1.75

Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.17

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · fair 1.81

GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57

Bognor Regis Town vs Chichester City: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:00 WAT, Saturday 1 August: Bognor Regis Town v Chichester City in the Friendlies Clubs.

Current form

Bognor Regis Town, last 3: WLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Havant & Wville, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Chichester City, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Burgess Hill Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bognor Regis Town 1.6 xG, Chichester City 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Bognor Regis Town 31%, draw 20%, Chichester City 48%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bognor Regis Town 1–2 Chichester City. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bognor Regis Town31%fair 3.22 · @3.40

Draw20%fair 4.88 · @4.00

Chichester City48%fair 2.06 · @1.75

3.32Expected goals

1.58Bognor Regis Town xG

1.74Chichester City xG

55%Both score

62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%

1–29%

2–18%

2–27%

0–16%

1–06%

From our goals model: Bognor Regis Town 1.6 – 1.7 Chichester City expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Bognor Regis Town	Chichester City
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average	+10%	-5%
Goals conceded vs average	+1%	-7%
Our expected goals here	1.79	1.56

Bognor Regis Town

Chichester City

Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average

+10%

-5%

Goals conceded vs average

+1%

-7%

Our expected goals here

1.79

1.56

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Chichester City to win ✗	48%	2.06	1.75
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	80%	1.26	1.17
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✓	55%	1.81	–
Draw no bet	Chichester City (draw no bet)	61%	1.64	–
Asian handicap	Bognor Regis Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓	73%	1.38	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	84%	1.19	–
Over/under 2.5 goals	Over 2.5 goals ✗	62%	1.61	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	58%	1.74	–
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	76%	1.32	–
First team to score	Chichester City to score first ✗	51%	1.98	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	37%	2.68	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Chichester City / FT Chichester City ✗	25%	3.96	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.57	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Chichester City to win ✗

48%

2.06

1.75

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

80%

1.26

1.17

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✓

55%

1.81

–

Draw no bet

Chichester City (draw no bet)

61%

1.64

–

Asian handicap

Bognor Regis Town +1 (Asian handicap) ✓

73%

1.38

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✓

84%

1.19

–

Over/under 2.5 goals

Over 2.5 goals ✗

62%

1.61

1.57

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

58%

1.74

–

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

76%

1.32

–

First team to score

Chichester City to score first ✗

51%

1.98

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✗

37%

2.68

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Chichester City / FT Chichester City ✗

25%

3.96

–

Correct score

Correct score 1–2 ✗

11.57

–

25 Jul	@ Havant & Wville	4–1	W
18 Jul	@ Sholing	2–3	L
21 Feb	@ Kingstonian	1–3	L

6 Apr	vs Burgess Hill Town	0–2	L
10 Mar	@ Canvey Island	1–3	L
21 Feb	vs Canvey Island	3–0	W
16 Feb	@ Aveley	2–2	D

Bognor Regis Town v Chichester City: numbers & prediction