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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Racing Santander v Alaves: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Racing Santander

WLLLD
1–1
FTPens 6–7

Alaves

WWDWW
Racing Santander 29%Draw 24%Alaves 46% Expected goals 1.12 – 1.54
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds
2

Value bet: Alaves to win @ 2.30 – our chance 46% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAlaves to win ✗46% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.76

Racing Santander vs Alaves: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Alaves travel to face Racing Santander on Friday 7 August in the Friendlies Clubs – the ball rolls at 18:30 WAT.

Current form

Racing Santander, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sporting Gijon, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Alaves, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Castellón, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Alaves, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.2 for Racing Santander.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Racing Santander 1.1 xG, Alaves 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Racing Santander 29%, draw 24%, Alaves 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.50.
  • Price worth noting: Alaves to win @2.30 – the bookmaker implies 43%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Racing Santander 1–1 Alaves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Racing Santander29%fair 3.42 · @2.62
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.50
Alaves46%fair 2.15 · @2.30
2.66Expected goals
1.12Racing Santander xG
1.54Alaves xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%

From our goals model: Racing Santander 1.1 – 1.5 Alaves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Racing SantanderAlaves
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average-15%-3%
Goals conceded vs average+3%-24%
Our expected goals here1.111.61

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAlaves to win ✗46%2.152.30 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.50
Draw no betAlaves (draw no bet)61%1.63–
Asian handicapRacing Santander +1 (Asian handicap) ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.881.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.471.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreAlaves to score first ✓54%1.86–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.37–
Half-time / full-timeHT Alaves / FT Alaves ✗28%3.56–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.76–

Recent results

Racing Santander – last 6

WLLLDW
7 Augvs Sporting Gijon4–1W
1 Aug@ Wolves0–3L
29 Julvs Athletic Club0–3L
24 Jul@ Osasuna0–2L
18 Jul@ Real Sociedad1–1D
31 Mayvs Cadiz4–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Alaves – last 6

WWDWWD
31 Julvs Castellón3–0W
25 Jul@ Girona1–0W
18 Julvs Eibar1–1D
17 May@ Oviedo1–0W
13 Mayvs Barcelona1–0W
9 May@ Elche1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Racing Santander and Alaves.

Racing Santander vs Alaves head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Cordoba0 Almeria4 134%2.30X25%3.20241%2.70 1.1–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 50%@1.75 ✓
FT Racing Santander4 Sporting Gijon1 145%2.10X22%3.65232%2.85 1.8–1.3xG GGBoth teams to score 64%@1.48 ✓
FT Melbourne City0 Palermo2 120%5.25X23%4.00257%1.50 1.2–1.9xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 62%@1.48 ✓
FT Bayern München2 Aston Villa1 150%1.90X21%3.95228%3.45 2.1–1.7xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 69%@1.45 ✓
FT Sudtirol1 Virtus Verona0 164%1.20X23%5.25213%11.00 1.6–0.7xG 1Sudtirol to win 64%@1.20 ✓
FT Leganes3 Mérida AD0 151%1.62X25%3.70224%4.33 1.4–1.1xG 1Leganes to win 51%@1.62 ✓
FT Fulham1 Crystal Palace2 142%2.40X24%3.45233%2.75 1.6–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
FT AD Ceuta FC2 Malaga1 128%3.25X22%3.60251%1.90 1.3–1.8xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 58%@1.67 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Racing Santander vs Alaves?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Racing Santander vs Alaves?

On our numbers Racing Santander have a 29% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Alaves 46%.

How many goals will there be in Racing Santander vs Alaves?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Racing Santander vs Alaves?

Our predicted score is Racing Santander 1–1 Alaves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Racing Santander vs Alaves?

Racing Santander vs Alaves (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.