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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Eastleigh v Scunthorpe: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Silverlake Stadium
3–2
FT
Eastleigh 41%Draw 21%Scunthorpe 38% Expected goals 1.19 – 1.12
73%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.40Odds
1

Value bet: Eastleigh to win @ 3.10 – our chance 41% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +28%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultEastleigh to win ✓41% · @3.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.69

Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Eastleigh welcome Scunthorpe to Silverlake Stadium for a National League fixture on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT). In the table, Eastleigh are 17th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Scunthorpe are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10.

Current form

Eastleigh, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kidderminster Harriers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Scunthorpe, last 5: WLDDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Stoke City U21, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Momentum favours Scunthorpe, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Eastleigh.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Eastleigh 1.2 xG, Scunthorpe 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Eastleigh 41%, draw 21%, Scunthorpe 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Eastleigh to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 41%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.40 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eastleigh 1–1 Scunthorpe. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Eastleigh41%fair 2.42 · @3.10
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.50
Scunthorpe38%fair 2.66 · @2.05
2.31Expected goals
1.19Eastleigh xG
1.12Scunthorpe xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Eastleigh 1.2 – 1.1 Scunthorpe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultEastleigh to win ✓41%2.423.10 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.57
Draw no betEastleigh (draw no bet) ✓52%1.91–
Asian handicapScunthorpe +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗52%1.912.05 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.371.40
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
First team to scoreEastleigh to score first ✓46%2.15–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Eastleigh / FT Eastleigh ✓21%4.67–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.69–

Recent results

Eastleigh – last 6

LWLLLL
15 Aug@ Kidderminster Harriers0–1L
8 Augvs Gateshead2–1W
1 Aug@ Farnham Town0–1L
25 Julvs Crawley Town0–1L
22 Julvs Valenciennes0–3L
18 Julvs Southampton1–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Scunthorpe – last 6

WLDDWL
18 Augvs Stoke City U214–0W
15 Aug@ Southend0–1L
8 Augvs Yeovil Town1–1D
31 Julvs Chesterfield1–1D
28 Jul@ North Ferriby6–3W
21 Jul@ Buxton0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Eastleigh and Scunthorpe.

Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?

On our numbers Eastleigh have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Scunthorpe 38%.

How many goals will there be in Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?

Our predicted score is Eastleigh 1–1 Scunthorpe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe?

Eastleigh vs Scunthorpe (National League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Silverlake Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.