Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Southend to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✓60% · @1.80
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓80% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Solihull Moors vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Solihull Moors welcome Southend to Damson Park for a National League fixture on Saturday 22 August (12:30 WAT). In the table, Solihull Moors are 22nd, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Solihull Moors, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Middlesbrough U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Southend, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Scunthorpe, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Southend, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Solihull Moors.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Solihull Moors 1.1 xG, Southend 2.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Solihull Moors 20%, draw 21%, Southend 60%.
Lower-risk option: Southend or draw (80%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Southend to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Solihull Moors 1–2 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Solihull Moors20%fair 5.05 · @3.70
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.60
Southend60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
3.18Expected goals
1.11Solihull Moors xG
2.07Southend xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Solihull Moors 1.1 – 2.1 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
60%
1.68
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Southend or draw✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.60
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)✓
75%
1.33
–
Asian handicap
Solihull Moors +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Southend to score first
62%
1.60
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✓
38%
2.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Solihull Moors – last 6
LLLLDW
18 Aug
vs Middlesbrough U21
1–3
L
15 Aug
vs Boston United
0–2
L
8 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–5
L
1 Aug
vs Northampton
2–4
L
28 Jul
vs Burton Albion
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Hereford
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Southend – last 6
WWWDLD
15 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Altrincham
3–1
W
1 Aug
vs Aveley
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
1–1
D
22 Jul
vs Northampton
1–3
L
18 Jul
vs West Ham
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Solihull Moors and Southend.
What is the prediction for Solihull Moors vs Southend?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Solihull Moors vs Southend?
On our numbers Solihull Moors have a 20% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southend 60%.
How many goals will there be in Solihull Moors vs Southend?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Solihull Moors vs Southend?
Our predicted score is Solihull Moors 1–2 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Solihull Moors vs Southend?
Solihull Moors vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Damson Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
