Harrogate Town 50%Draw 21%Barrow 28%Expected goals 1.96 – 1.43
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Harrogate Town to win @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHarrogate Town to win ✗50% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.79
Harrogate Town vs Barrow: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 22 August the National League brings Harrogate Town against Barrow at Exercise Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Harrogate Town are 2nd, among the top four, on 32 points after 16 matches; Barrow are 9th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Harrogate Town, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Wealdstone, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Barrow, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to AFC Hornchurch, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Harrogate Town, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Barrow.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Barrow 0–1 Harrogate Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Harrogate Town 2.0 xG, Barrow 1.4 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Harrogate Town 50%, draw 21%, Barrow 28%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Harrogate Town to win @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Harrogate Town 1–1 Barrow. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Harrogate Town50%fair 1.98 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.45
Barrow28%fair 3.52 · @2.90
3.39Expected goals
1.96Harrogate Town xG
1.43Barrow xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Harrogate Town 2.0 – 1.4 Barrow expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
On our numbers Harrogate Town have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Barrow 28%.
How many goals will there be in Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
Our predicted score is Harrogate Town 1–1 Barrow, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Harrogate Town vs Barrow?
Harrogate Town vs Barrow (National League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Exercise Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
