Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSutton Utd to win ✓41% · @2.33
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓8% · fair 12.74
Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hartlepool travel to face Sutton Utd on Saturday 22 August in the National League, with VBS Community Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:30 WAT. In the table, Sutton Utd are 11th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; Hartlepool are 21st (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Sutton Utd, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Leicester City U21, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Hartlepool, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Aldershot Town, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sutton Utd, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Hartlepool.
Head to head
When they last met (3 Mar 2026) it ended Hartlepool 0–2 Sutton Utd.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sutton Utd 1.2 xG, Hartlepool 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sutton Utd 41%, draw 21%, Hartlepool 38%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 52%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (72%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.38, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sutton Utd 1–1 Hartlepool. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sutton Utd41%fair 2.46 · @2.33
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.55
Hartlepool38%fair 2.61 · @2.60
2.33Expected goals
1.19Sutton Utd xG
1.14Hartlepool xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Sutton Utd 1.2 – 1.1 Hartlepool expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool?
On our numbers Sutton Utd have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hartlepool 38%.
How many goals will there be in Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool?
Our predicted score is Sutton Utd 1–1 Hartlepool, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool?
Sutton Utd vs Hartlepool (National League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at VBS Community Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
