Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Worthing to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultHartlepool to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.74
Hartlepool vs Worthing: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 19 September the National League brings Hartlepool against Worthing at Victoria Park. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Hartlepool are 21st, lower half, on 15 points after 16 matches; Worthing are 6th (upper half) with 28. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hartlepool, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Altrincham, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Worthing, last 5: WDDDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AFC Hornchurch, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Worthing, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for Hartlepool.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hartlepool 1.4 xG, Worthing 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hartlepool 42%, draw 21%, Worthing 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Worthing to win @2.88 – the bookmaker implies 35%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hartlepool 1–1 Worthing. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hartlepool42%fair 2.39 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Worthing37%fair 2.71 · @2.88
2.63Expected goals
1.37Hartlepool xG
1.26Worthing xG
62%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Hartlepool 1.4 – 1.3 Worthing expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hartlepool to win✗
42%
2.39
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Draw no bet
Hartlepool (draw no bet)✗
53%
1.88
–
Asian handicap
Worthing +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Hartlepool to score first✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hartlepool / FT Hartlepool✗
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.74
–
Recent results
Hartlepool – last 6
LLLWLL
16 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Kidderminster Harriers
0–2
L
8 Sep
vs Everton U21
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Woking
1–0
W
1 Sep
@ FC Halifax Town
0–1
L
28 Aug
vs Eastleigh
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Worthing – last 6
WDDDLL
15 Sep
vs AFC Hornchurch
1–0
W
12 Sep
vs Barrow
2–2
D
8 Sep
vs Norwich City U21
0–0
D
5 Sep
@ AFC Fylde
2–2
D
31 Aug
vs Boreham Wood
2–3
L
28 Aug
@ Tamworth
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartlepool and Worthing.
What is the prediction for Hartlepool vs Worthing?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Hartlepool vs Worthing?
On our numbers Hartlepool have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Worthing 37%.
How many goals will there be in Hartlepool vs Worthing?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartlepool vs Worthing?
Our predicted score is Hartlepool 1–1 Worthing, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Hartlepool vs Worthing?
Hartlepool vs Worthing (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Victoria Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
