Barrow 61%Draw 25%Aldershot Town 14%Expected goals 1.69 – 0.69
86%
Betarazi pick
Barrow or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Barrow to win @ 1.83 – our chance 61% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultBarrow to win ✓61% · @1.83
Double chanceBarrow or draw ✓86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.96
Barrow vs Aldershot Town: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Barrow v Aldershot Town in the National League, played at Holker Street. In the table, Barrow are 9th, upper half, on 25 points after 15 matches; Aldershot Town are 14th (lower half) with 21.
Current form
Barrow, last 5: LDWDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Solihull Moors, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Aldershot Town, last 5: DWLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Yeovil Town, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Aldershot Town, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Barrow.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Barrow 1.7 xG, Aldershot Town 0.7 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Barrow 61%, draw 25%, Aldershot Town 14%.
Lower-risk option: Barrow or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Barrow to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Barrow or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Barrow 1–0 Aldershot Town. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Barrow61%fair 1.65 · @1.83
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.60
Aldershot Town14%fair 7.05 · @3.80
2.38Expected goals
1.69Barrow xG
0.69Aldershot Town xG
58%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Barrow 1.7 – 0.7 Aldershot Town expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Barrow to win✓
61%
1.65
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Barrow or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.71
1.57
Draw no bet
Barrow (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Barrow -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.74
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Barrow to score first✓
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Barrow / FT Barrow✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.96
–
Recent results
Barrow – last 6
LDWDLD
15 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Worthing
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Sutton Utd
3–0
W
31 Aug
@ Kidderminster Harriers
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Yeovil Town
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Harrogate Town
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Aldershot Town – last 6
DWLWDW
15 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
1–1
D
12 Sep
@ Solihull Moors
2–1
W
8 Sep
vs West Ham United U21
0–3
L
5 Sep
vs FC Halifax Town
1–0
W
31 Aug
@ Eastleigh
1–1
D
28 Aug
vs Harrogate Town
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Barrow and Aldershot Town.
What is the prediction for Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
Our pick is Barrow or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
On our numbers Barrow have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Aldershot Town 14%.
How many goals will there be in Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
Our predicted score is Barrow 1–0 Aldershot Town, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Barrow vs Aldershot Town?
Barrow vs Aldershot Town (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Holker Street.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
