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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tamworth v Wealdstone: numbers & prediction

National League · England · The Lamb Ground
2–1
FT
Tamworth 58%Draw 16%Wealdstone 26% Expected goals 2.26 – 1.43
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.47 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Tamworth to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTamworth to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.97

Tamworth vs Wealdstone: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

12:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Tamworth v Wealdstone in the National League, played at The Lamb Ground. In the table, Tamworth are 20th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Wealdstone are 18th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Tamworth, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Southend, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.

Wealdstone, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Halifax Town, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.

Momentum favours Wealdstone, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Tamworth.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Wealdstone 3–2 Tamworth.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tamworth 2.3 xG, Wealdstone 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tamworth 58%, draw 16%, Wealdstone 26%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
  • Price worth noting: Tamworth to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tamworth58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @3.60
Wealdstone26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
3.69Expected goals
2.26Tamworth xG
1.43Wealdstone xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%

From our goals model: Tamworth 2.3 – 1.4 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTamworth to win ✓58%1.731.95 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84%1.201.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.471.44
Draw no betTamworth (draw no bet) ✓69%1.44–
Asian handicapWealdstone +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
First team to scoreTamworth to score first ✗60%1.68–
Half-time resultTamworth ahead at half-time ✗43%2.32–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tamworth / FT Tamworth ✗36%2.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%10.97–

Recent results

Tamworth – last 6

LLLDLW
15 Sep@ Southend1–3L
12 Sep@ Harrogate Town1–3L
9 Sepvs Middlesbrough U211–3L
5 Sepvs Boston United2–2D
31 Aug@ Yeovil Town2–3L
28 Augvs Worthing3–2W
1.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Wealdstone – last 6

LWWLWD
15 Sepvs FC Halifax Town0–1L
12 Sep@ Boston United3–1W
8 Sepvs Stoke City U216–0W
5 Sepvs Kidderminster Harriers1–4L
31 Aug@ Sutton Utd2–0W
28 Augvs Carlisle1–1D
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Wealdstone v Tamworth3–2
Tamworth vs Wealdstone head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

On our numbers Tamworth have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Wealdstone 26%.

How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

Our predicted score is Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

Tamworth vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.