Value bet: Tamworth to win @ 1.95 – our chance 58% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTamworth to win ✓58% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 10.97
Tamworth vs Wealdstone: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:30 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Tamworth v Wealdstone in the National League, played at The Lamb Ground. In the table, Tamworth are 20th, lower half, on 17 points after 15 matches; Wealdstone are 18th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Tamworth, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Southend, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Wealdstone, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to FC Halifax Town, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Wealdstone, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.7 for Tamworth.
Head to head
When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Wealdstone 3–2 Tamworth.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tamworth 2.3 xG, Wealdstone 1.4 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 71% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tamworth 58%, draw 16%, Wealdstone 26%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Tamworth to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tamworth58%fair 1.73 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.11 · @3.60
Wealdstone26%fair 3.90 · @3.30
3.69Expected goals
2.26Tamworth xG
1.43Wealdstone xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–27%
2–06%
1–26%
From our goals model: Tamworth 2.3 – 1.4 Wealdstone expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
On our numbers Tamworth have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Wealdstone 26%.
How many goals will there be in Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
Our predicted score is Tamworth 2–1 Wealdstone, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Tamworth vs Wealdstone?
Tamworth vs Wealdstone (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at The Lamb Ground.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.