Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Carlisle to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCarlisle to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceCarlisle or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Eastleigh vs Carlisle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Carlisle travel to face Eastleigh on Saturday 19 September in the National League, with Silverlake Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Eastleigh are 17th, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Carlisle are 8th (upper half) with 26.
Current form
Eastleigh, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sutton Utd, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Carlisle, last 5: DDLWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Forest Green, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Eastleigh 1.0 xG, Carlisle 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Eastleigh 15%, draw 21%, Carlisle 63%.
Lower-risk option: Carlisle or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Carlisle to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Carlisle or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Eastleigh 0–2 Carlisle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Eastleigh15%fair 6.54 · @4.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.75
Carlisle63%fair 1.58 · @1.75
3.06Expected goals
0.95Eastleigh xG
2.11Carlisle xG
62%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Eastleigh 1.0 – 2.1 Carlisle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Carlisle to win✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Carlisle or draw✗
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.61
1.57
Draw no bet
Carlisle (draw no bet)✗
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Carlisle -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Carlisle to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Carlisle ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Carlisle / FT Carlisle✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Eastleigh – last 6
LDLDWW
15 Sep
@ Sutton Utd
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Boreham Wood
1–1
D
4 Sep
@ Altrincham
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Aldershot Town
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Hartlepool
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
3–2
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Carlisle – last 6
DDLWDW
15 Sep
vs Forest Green
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Southend
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Boreham Wood
1–2
L
31 Aug
vs Scunthorpe
4–2
W
28 Aug
@ Wealdstone
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs AFC Hornchurch
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Eastleigh and Carlisle.
Our pick is Carlisle or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
On our numbers Eastleigh have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Carlisle 63%.
How many goals will there be in Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
Our predicted score is Eastleigh 0–2 Carlisle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Eastleigh vs Carlisle?
Eastleigh vs Carlisle (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Silverlake Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
