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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Gateshead v Southend: numbers & prediction

National League · England · Gateshead International Stadium
1–6
FT
Gateshead 15%Draw 21%Southend 64% Expected goals 0.89 – 2.05
64%
Betarazi pick

Southend to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultSouthend to win ✓64% · @1.55
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓85% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Gateshead vs Southend: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Gateshead v Southend in the National League, played at Gateshead International Stadium. In the table, Gateshead are 24th, in the drop zone, on 4 points after 15 matches; Southend are 3rd (among the top four) with 29. There are 25 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Gateshead, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Kidderminster Harriers, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Southend, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Tamworth, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.

Momentum favours Southend, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.2 for Gateshead.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Mar 2026) it ended Southend 1–1 Gateshead.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gateshead 0.9 xG, Southend 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Gateshead 15%, draw 21%, Southend 64%.
  • Lower-risk option: Southend or draw (85%) at 1.15.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Southend to win (64%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gateshead 0–2 Southend. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gateshead15%fair 6.75 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @4.00
Southend64%fair 1.56 · @1.55
2.94Expected goals
0.89Gateshead xG
2.05Southend xG
58%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%

From our goals model: Gateshead 0.9 – 2.1 Southend expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSouthend to win ✓64%1.561.55
Double chanceSouthend or draw ✓85%1.171.15
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓58%1.721.75
Draw no betSouthend (draw no bet) ✓81%1.23–
Asian handicapSouthend -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗83%1.21–
First team to scoreSouthend to score first ✓66%1.51–
Half-time resultSouthend ahead at half-time ✓47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT Southend / FT Southend ✓41%2.41–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Gateshead – last 6

LLLDLL
16 Sep@ Kidderminster Harriers0–1L
12 Sep@ Forest Green0–4L
8 Sepvs Derby County U211–3L
5 Sepvs Solihull Moors1–1D
31 Aug@ Harrogate Town1–2L
28 Augvs Sutton Utd0–1L
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Southend – last 6

WDWDLW
15 Sepvs Tamworth3–1W
12 Sep@ Carlisle2–2D
5 Sepvs Yeovil Town3–2W
31 Aug@ Woking1–1D
28 Augvs Kidderminster Harriers1–3L
22 Aug@ Solihull Moors3–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Mar 2026Southend v Gateshead1–1
Gateshead vs Southend head-to-head page →

National League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Boreham Wood161420+2744
2Harrogate Town161024+1132
3Southend16853+1129
4AFC Fylde16925+629
5Yeovil Town16844+1528
6Worthing16844+728
7Altrincham16916028
8Carlisle16754+926
9Barrow15744+725
10FC Halifax Town16736+824
11Sutton Utd16736-124
12Woking16637+121
13Kidderminster Harriers16565+121
14Aldershot Town16637021
15AFC Hornchurch16709-821
16Forest Green14545-119
17Eastleigh16547-619
18Wealdstone16538-618
19Boston United16538-818
20Tamworth15528-717
21Hartlepool165011-915
22Solihull Moors164111-2113
23Scunthorpe153111-1110
24Gateshead151113-254

More National League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gateshead vs Southend?

Our pick is Southend to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Gateshead vs Southend?

On our numbers Gateshead have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southend 64%.

How many goals will there be in Gateshead vs Southend?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gateshead vs Southend?

Our predicted score is Gateshead 0–2 Southend, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Gateshead vs Southend?

Gateshead vs Southend (National League) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Gateshead International Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.