Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1
Value bet: Southend to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSouthend to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓70% · fair 1.44
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.66
Southend vs AFC Fylde: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AFC Fylde travel to face Southend on Saturday 3 October in the National League, with Roots Hall the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Southend are 3rd, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; AFC Fylde are 4th (among the top four) with 29. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Southend, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Eastleigh, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
AFC Fylde, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Carlisle, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Southend 2.3 xG, AFC Fylde 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Southend 61%, draw 16%, AFC Fylde 24%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Price worth noting: Southend to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Southend 2–1 AFC Fylde. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Southend61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw16%fair 6.26 · @3.90
AFC Fylde24%fair 4.25 · @3.00
3.59Expected goals
2.27Southend xG
1.32AFC Fylde xG
65%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
2–07%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Southend 2.3 – 1.3 AFC Fylde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Southend to win✓
61%
1.65
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.53
1.44
Draw no bet
Southend (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.39
–
Asian handicap
AFC Fylde +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
First team to score
Southend to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Southend ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Southend / FT Southend✓
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.66
–
Recent results
Southend – last 6
DLWWDW
30 Sep
@ Eastleigh
1–1
D
26 Sep
vs Barrow
2–4
L
19 Sep
@ Gateshead
6–1
W
15 Sep
vs Tamworth
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Carlisle
2–2
D
5 Sep
vs Yeovil Town
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
AFC Fylde – last 6
LWLWWD
29 Sep
vs Carlisle
0–2
L
26 Sep
@ Boston United
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Altrincham
1–2
L
15 Sep
@ Harrogate Town
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Yeovil Town
4–1
W
5 Sep
vs Worthing
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Southend and AFC Fylde.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Southend vs AFC Fylde?
On our numbers Southend have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 16% and AFC Fylde 24%.
How many goals will there be in Southend vs AFC Fylde?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Southend vs AFC Fylde?
Our predicted score is Southend 2–1 AFC Fylde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Southend vs AFC Fylde?
Southend vs AFC Fylde (National League) kicks off on Saturday 3 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Roots Hall.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
