Bedford Town vs Buxton: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Tuesday 18 August the National League North brings Bedford Town against Buxton at The Eyrie. Kick-off: 19:45 WAT. In the table, Bedford Town are 10th, upper half, on 22 points after 14 matches; Buxton are 7th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Bedford Town, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Darlington 1883, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Buxton, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Southport, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Buxton, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.5 for Bedford Town.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bedford Town 0.9 xG, Buxton 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bedford Town 17%, draw 25%, Buxton 59%.
Lower-risk option: Buxton or draw (83%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bedford Town 0–2 Buxton. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bedford Town17%fair 6.01 · @4.33
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @3.70
Buxton59%fair 1.71 · @1.68
2.81Expected goals
0.92Bedford Town xG
1.88Buxton xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–110%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Bedford Town 0.9 – 1.9 Buxton expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Buxton to win✗
59%
1.71
1.68
Double chance
Buxton or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Draw no bet
Buxton (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Bedford Town +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.42
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Buxton to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Buxton ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Buxton / FT Buxton✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Bedford Town – last 6
LLLWWW
15 Aug
vs Darlington 1883
2–3
L
8 Aug
@ Oxford City
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Kettering Town
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Walton & Hersham
2–0
W
14 Jul
vs Biggleswade
2–0
W
11 Jul
vs Berkhamsted
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Buxton – last 6
DWWWWL
15 Aug
@ Southport
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Hereford
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Warrington Town
2–1
W
21 Jul
vs Scunthorpe
2–0
W
10 Jul
vs Ashton United
1–0
W
7 Jul
vs SC Braga
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bedford Town and Buxton.
What is the prediction for Bedford Town vs Buxton?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Bedford Town vs Buxton?
On our numbers Bedford Town have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Buxton 59%.
How many goals will there be in Bedford Town vs Buxton?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bedford Town vs Buxton?
Our predicted score is Bedford Town 0–2 Buxton, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Bedford Town vs Buxton?
Bedford Town vs Buxton (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Eyrie.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
