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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Marine v Chorley: numbers & prediction

National League North · England · Rossett Park

Marine

LLWWW
0–2
FT

Chorley

LLLLD
Marine 41%Draw 22%Chorley 37% Expected goals 1.23 – 1.14
74%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.36 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.36Odds

Picks by market

ResultMarine to win ✗41% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.41

Marine vs Chorley: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 18 August: Marine v Chorley in the National League North, played at Rossett Park. In the table, Marine are 16th, lower half, on 19 points after 15 matches; Chorley are 13th (lower half) with 20. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Marine, last 5: LLWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Hereford, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Chorley, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to South Shields, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Marine, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.2 for Chorley.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Marine 2–1 Chorley.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Marine 1.2 xG, Chorley 1.1 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 55%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Marine 41%, draw 22%, Chorley 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Marine 1–1 Chorley. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Marine41%fair 2.42 · @2.45
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Chorley37%fair 2.71 · @2.55
2.36Expected goals
1.23Marine xG
1.14Chorley xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Marine 1.2 – 1.1 Chorley expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMarine to win ✗41%2.422.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.821.67
Draw no betMarine (draw no bet) ✗53%1.89–
Asian handicapChorley +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓72%1.401.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74%1.361.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.151.12
First team to scoreMarine to score first ✗47%2.12–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗46%2.20–
Half-time / full-timeHT Marine / FT Marine ✗22%4.57–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.41–

Recent results

Marine – last 6

LLWWWW
15 Aug@ Hereford0–1L
8 Augvs Macclesfield0–1L
28 Julvs Warrington Town2–1W
25 Julvs Preston3–0W
21 Jul@ Prescot Cables1–0W
14 Julvs Colwyn Bay2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Chorley – last 6

LLLLDL
15 Aug@ South Shields1–2L
8 Augvs Chester1–2L
28 Jul@ Trafford1–2L
25 Julvs Accrington ST0–3L
21 Julvs Altrincham0–0D
11 Julvs Bury1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Apr 2026Marine v Chorley2–1
Marine vs Chorley head-to-head page →

National League North table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1South Shields151023+1032
2Hereford16934+1430
3Oxford City15843+1528
4Macclesfield13832+1027
5Hednesford Town16835+827
6King's Lynn Town16835+627
7Buxton16835+527
8Chester15825+426
9Morecambe16736+524
10Bedford Town14716-222
11AFC Telford United16646-422
12Spalding United15636+321
13Chorley15627-120
14Worksop Town15627-120
15Hebburn Town15555-820
16Marine15618019
17Merthyr Town16475-119
18Brackley Town16547-919
19Harborough Town14455-417
20Scarborough Athletic16448-316
21Radcliffe15519-816
22Darlington 1883163310-912
23Southport15249-1510
24Spennymoor Town15249-1510

More National League North predictions

League hub
FT Bedford Town2 Buxton1 117%4.33X25%3.70259%1.68 0.9–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.22 ✓
FT Brackley Town0 King's Lynn Town2 160%1.80X23%3.60217%3.60 1.7–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓
FT Darlington 18830 Chester1 130%3.00X21%3.45249%2.10 1.3–1.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.25 ✗
FT Hebburn Town1 Worksop Town0 133%2.90X21%3.50246%2.10 1.3–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.22 ✗
FT Hednesford Town2 Southport2 145%2.15X21%3.45234%2.95 1.8–1.5xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.22 ✓
FT Hereford3 Radcliffe0 148%2.00X21%3.50231%3.10 1.5–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT Merthyr Town2 AFC Telford United2 142%2.45X21%3.60238%2.45 1.5–1.4xG GGBoth teams to score 66%@1.42 ✓
FT Morecambe0 South Shields1 123%3.35X15%3.45262%1.95 0.7–1.5xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.35 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Marine vs Chorley?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.

Who will win Marine vs Chorley?

On our numbers Marine have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chorley 37%.

How many goals will there be in Marine vs Chorley?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Marine vs Chorley?

Our predicted score is Marine 1–1 Chorley, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Marine vs Chorley?

Marine vs Chorley (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Rossett Park.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.