Morecambe v South Shields Prediction & Expected Goals (18 Aug) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultSouth Shields to win ✓62% · @1.95

Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.22

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.67

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.35

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.27

Morecambe vs South Shields: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:45 WAT, Tuesday 18 August: Morecambe v South Shields in the National League North, played at The Mazuma Stadium. In the table, Morecambe are 9th, upper half, on 24 points after 16 matches; South Shields are 1st (leading the league) with 32.

Current form

Morecambe, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Harborough Town, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

South Shields, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Chorley, at home. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours South Shields, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Morecambe.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Morecambe 0.7 xG, South Shields 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Morecambe 23%, draw 15%, South Shields 62%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: South Shields to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Morecambe 0–1 South Shields. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Morecambe23%fair 4.42 · @3.35

Draw15%fair 6.60 · @3.45

South Shields62%fair 1.61 · @1.95

2.25Expected goals

0.71Morecambe xG

1.53South Shields xG

52%Both score

45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–116%

0–212%

1–112%

0–011%

1–29%

1–08%

From our goals model: Morecambe 0.7 – 1.5 South Shields expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	South Shields to win ✓	62%	1.61	1.95 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	85%	1.18	1.22
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	52%	1.93	1.67
Draw no bet	South Shields (draw no bet) ✓	73%	1.36	–
Asian handicap	Morecambe +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	70%	1.43	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	70%	1.43	1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	55%	1.83	1.93 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	75%	1.33	1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.08	–
First team to score	South Shields to score first ✓	61%	1.64	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.20	–
Half-time / full-time	HT South Shields / FT South Shields ✗	34%	2.90	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	9%	11.27	–

Morecambe – last 6

LDLDWD

15 Aug	@ Harborough Town	0–1	L
8 Aug	vs Spennymoor Town	1–1	D
1 Aug	vs Barrow	0–1	L
28 Jul	vs AFC Fylde	1–1	D
18 Jul	@ Bamber Bridge	3–0	W
6 Apr	vs Carlisle	2–2	D

1.2Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

South Shields – last 6

WWWLLW

15 Aug	vs Chorley	2–1	W
8 Aug	@ Scarborough Athletic	1–0	W
28 Jul	@ Gateshead	4–1	W
21 Jul	vs Harrogate Town	1–2	L
9 May	vs Kidderminster Harriers	0–2	L
14 Apr	vs Macclesfield	4–1	W

2.0Scored / game

1.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Shields	15	10	2	3	+10	32
2	Hereford	16	9	3	4	+14	30
3	Oxford City	15	8	4	3	+15	28
4	Macclesfield	13	8	3	2	+10	27
5	Hednesford Town	16	8	3	5	+8	27
6	King's Lynn Town	16	8	3	5	+6	27
7	Buxton	16	8	3	5	+5	27
8	Chester	15	8	2	5	+4	26
9	Morecambe	16	7	3	6	+5	24
10	Bedford Town	14	7	1	6	-2	22
11	AFC Telford United	16	6	4	6	-4	22
12	Spalding United	15	6	3	6	+3	21
13	Chorley	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Worksop Town	15	6	2	7	-1	20
15	Hebburn Town	15	5	5	5	-8	20
16	Marine	15	6	1	8	0	19
17	Merthyr Town	16	4	7	5	-1	19
18	Brackley Town	16	5	4	7	-9	19
19	Harborough Town	14	4	5	5	-4	17
20	Scarborough Athletic	16	4	4	8	-3	16
21	Radcliffe	15	5	1	9	-8	16
22	Darlington 1883	16	3	3	10	-9	12
23	Southport	15	2	4	9	-15	10
24	Spennymoor Town	15	2	4	9	-15	10

Team

Pts

+10

+14

+15

+10

-2

-4

-1

-1

-8

-1

-9

-4

-3

-8

-9

-15

-15

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Morecambe vs South Shields?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Morecambe vs South Shields?

On our numbers Morecambe have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and South Shields 62%.

How many goals will there be in Morecambe vs South Shields?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Morecambe vs South Shields?

Our predicted score is Morecambe 0–1 South Shields, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Morecambe vs South Shields?

Morecambe vs South Shields (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at The Mazuma Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

Morecambe v South Shields: numbers & prediction