Hednesford Town 45%Draw 21%Southport 34%Expected goals 1.79 – 1.52
80%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultHednesford Town to win ✗45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.25
Hednesford Town vs Southport: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Hednesford Town welcome Southport for a National League North fixture on Tuesday 18 August (19:45 WAT). In the table, Hednesford Town are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Southport are 23rd (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Hednesford Town, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Scarborough Athletic, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Southport, last 5: DLDWL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Buxton, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Hednesford Town, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Southport.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Hednesford Town 1.8 xG, Southport 1.5 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 66%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Hednesford Town 45%, draw 21%, Southport 34%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Hednesford Town 1–1 Southport. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Hednesford Town45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.45
Southport34%fair 2.96 · @2.95
3.31Expected goals
1.79Hednesford Town xG
1.52Southport xG
66%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
2–06%
From our goals model: Hednesford Town 1.8 – 1.5 Southport expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Hednesford Town to win✗
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.57
Draw no bet
Hednesford Town (draw no bet)
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Southport +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
First team to score
Hednesford Town to score first✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Hednesford Town / FT Hednesford Town✗
27%
3.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.25
–
Recent results
Hednesford Town – last 6
LLWLWW
15 Aug
vs Scarborough Athletic
3–4
L
8 Aug
@ Merthyr Town
0–2
L
1 Aug
vs Boston United
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Solihull Moors
1–2
L
28 Apr
vs Stockton Town
2–0
W
6 Apr
@ United of Manchester
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Southport – last 6
DLDWLL
15 Aug
vs Buxton
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Hebburn Town
1–3
L
31 Jul
vs Wigan
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs United of Manchester
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Fleetwood Town
0–1
L
21 Apr
@ Macclesfield
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hednesford Town and Southport.
What is the prediction for Hednesford Town vs Southport?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Hednesford Town vs Southport?
On our numbers Hednesford Town have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Southport 34%.
How many goals will there be in Hednesford Town vs Southport?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hednesford Town vs Southport?
Our predicted score is Hednesford Town 1–1 Southport, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Hednesford Town vs Southport?
Hednesford Town vs Southport (National League North) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
